ATP US Open semifinals
Fritz – Tiafoe: 06.09.2024 21:00 CEST
H2H: 6-1
Taylor Fritz has won five straight matches. Besides winning the title in Delray Beach earlier this season, Fritz did not have any remarkable results on the hard courts. In the first round of the tournament, Fritz defeated Ugo Carabelli in easy straight sets as we predicted. It was an easy opening round for the American. Taylor lost his serve twice in the first set, but after that, Taylor had a great serving performance in the second and third sets. After that, in the second round, Taylor defeated Berrettini in easy straight sets. It was overall a great performance from the young American. Matteo had no answer for his game. Fritz had another great performance in the third round against Comesana. Taylor won that match in straight sets as we predicted. He scored and saved three breakpoints, playing great under pressure. In the 1/8-Finals, Fritz had his toughest challenge so far in the tournament. He lost the first set against Ruud, but stayed calm and turned the match around. Fritz made too many unforced errors in the first set. Once he started playing better, Ruud had no chance against him. In the quarterfinals, Taylor defeated Zverev in four tight sets as we predicted. Last year in New York, Taylor reached the quarterfinals, where he lost against Djokovic in straight sets.
Frances Tiafoe has won five straight matches. In the first round, Tiafoe defeated Kovacevic in four tight sets. Frances was inconsistent in that opening match, but managed to win. After that, in the second round, Shevchenko retired mid-match against Tiafoe. Shevchenko received a medical timeout midway through the second set, then retired after being broken after the first game of the third set. His toughest challenge was in the third round, where he spent over four hours on the court against Shelton. Tiafoe won that match in five tight sets as we predicted. Ben was 2-1 up, but Frances never stopped fighting and eventually turned the match around. Tiafoe was happy to hear that Popyrin upset Novak Djokovic in the third round. Popyrin could not repeat his third round performance, and just fumbled under the pressure in his 1/8-Final match against Tiafoe. Frances was the better player for the most part of the match, and managed to win in four tight sets. Tiafoe played aggressively throughout the whole match, hitting 44 winners, with only 20 unforced errors. In the quarterfinals, Grigor retired in the fourth set against Tiafoe when it was pretty much over. His biggest result here in New York was reaching the semifinals two years ago. Last year in New York, Frances reached the quarterfinals where he lost against Shelton in four tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Taylor is the slight favorite in this matchup. Looking at their head-to-head meetings, we can see Fritz dominating against Tiafoe. Taylor is a better player than Tiafoe when playing under pressure. We believe that he will be a better player on the court, and win this match.
That being said, Fritz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Taylor Fritz -3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images
