ATP 250 Mallorca 1/16-Finals
Fognini – Brouwer: 24.06.2024 13:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Fabio Fognini has won three of his last five matches. Last week, Fognini lost against Bonadio in the 1/8-Finals of the challenger tournament in Sassuolo. Before that, Fognini reached the quarterfinals in Perugia, where he lost against Darderi in straight sets. He spent most of this season playing at the challenger tour level. Fognini is unfortunately completely out of form, and is on the verge of getting out of the top 100 in the rankings. Fognini rarely plays on grass, but he was given a main-draw wildcard. He has not won a match on the grass court since Wimbledon 2021.
Gijs Brouwer has won three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago, Brouwer reached the quarterfinals in Hertogenbosch, where he lost against Humbert in three tight sets. Here in Mallorca, Gijs had to fight throughout the qualifying tournament to get into the main draw. However, Brouwer lost against Lestienne in the final qualifying round. After a couple of players withdrew from the tournament, Brouwer got into the main draw as a lucky loser. So far this season, Brouwer has won 7 matches, and lost only 3 matches on grass. It is safe to say that this is his favorite surface.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Brouwer is the favorite in this matchup. At this moment, Gijs is a way better grass court player than Fognini, so we believe that he will win comfortably tomorrow.
That being said, Brouwer covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Gijs Brouwer -3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Monfils – Thiem: 24.06.2024 18:00 CEST
H2H: 1-8
Gael Monfils has lost four of his last five matches. Monfils is 37 years old, and currently out of the shape. Gael is, unfortunately, struggling with his fitness. His body and his form are declining. The last match that he played was at the French Open, where he lost against Musetti in the second round. He has not played a competitive match on grass since 2021. His last match on grass court was at Wimbledon in 2021, where he lost against Pablo Martinez in four sets. Monfils never had any remarkable results on grass.
Dominic Thiem has lost three of his last five matches. After he was not given a wildcard, Thiem tried to qualify for the main draw of the French Open. Unfortunately, Dominic lost in the second qualifying round against Virtanen in straight sets. Earlier this year, Thiem announced that this would be his final season as a tennis player. His last competitive match on grass was last year at Wimbledon, where he lost in the first round against Tsitsipas in five tough sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Monfils is the favorite in this matchup. Looking at their current form, both players are struggling a lot. The grass court surface is also their least favorite one. We expect a low-quality match that could go on each side.
That being said, Thiem covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Dominic Thiem +2.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
