ATP Miami 1/16-Finals
Machac – Murray: 24.03.2024 19:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Tomas Machac secured his biggest win two days ago in Miami. He won against Rublev in straight sets. Machac saved both breakpoints in this match, and he stayed calm in this match! This was his first top 10 win. If he could win tonight, he would probably enter into the top 50 in the rankings! His opponent tonight, Andy Murray, had a big win in the first round against Berrettini. After that, Andy won against Etcheverry in two tough sets. He has spent almost 5 hours on the court already. Considering his fitness level and age, we are concerned that Andy’s body will not be ready for another tough match. This was the first this year Murray has had consecutive wins. We believe that Machac is full of confidence after his big win against Rublev. He also won against Murray last month in straight sets. That being said, Murray probably can not play one more good match. We believe that Machac will win easily tonight!
Value bet/ the best odds: Machac to win @1.62 @bet365
Ruud – Davidovich Fokina: 25.03.2024 00:00 CEST
H2H: 1-2
Casper Ruud had a good tournament last week at Indian Wells where he reached the quarter-finals. Ruud got some big wins against Fils and Monfils. He fell short to Paul in the end. Here, in Miami, Ruud won in three sets against van Assche, who played a great first two sets. Casper needed some time to adjust to the surface, but when he got used to it, Ruud played great! His opponent, Davidovich Fokina, won against Shang in straight sets. He was not consistent this season. Casper Ruud is playing his best tennis. He reached consecutive finals in Los Cabos and Acapulco this year. Ruud can always rely on his experience. We believe that he will win today against Davidovich Fokina, who usually does not handle the pressure well.
‘Value bet/ the best odds: Ruud to win @1.50 @bet365
Norrie – Medvedev: 25.03.2024 01:30 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Cameron Norrie won in the 1/32-Finals in Miami against Cobolli harder than he expected to. He won after fighting for almost three hours. Norrie played incredibly well in the third set, and we expect him to maintain that level tonight as well. This surface is a perfect fit for his game and he also had his biggest wins on the fast hard court such as this one. His opponent, Medvedev, won in straight sets against Fucsovics and reached the 1/16 in Miami. Medvedev played in last week’s Indian Wells final where he lost to Alcaraz in straight sets. The Australian Open finalist is a big favorite tonight! We believe that we will watch a very interesting match as both players tend to play long rallies with lots of variations. Norrie is a big underdog in this match, but we believe that he has something to say! As we already mentioned, he showed great tennis in the third set against Cobolli. If he could play like that tonight, he would give Medvedev some problems. The over-games line is set at 21.5 games, and we believe that it is just too low. We expect at least two tough sets and, with that being said, the players should go over this line easily!
Value bet/ the best odds: over 21.5 games @1.91 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
