First-round action ends here on Day 3 of the French Open but we get one more set of matches before moving onto the second round. Let’s see where the value can be found this time.
French Open Day 3 Best Bets
Zdenek Kolar vs Lucas Pouille
Kolar had a poor start to the year and though he has since reached two Challenger semifinals and qualified here, he still does not look like he is playing his best tennis. Once Franco Agamenone took out Daniel Elahi Galan, his section became one of the easiest in the qualifying draw and the Czech capitalized. Pouille scored a win over Karen Khachanov in Madrid but has really struggled since, losing to No. 382 Martin Cuevas at a Challenger and winning only four games against Oscar Otte in his most recent match. The two are priced evenly but Kolar should be the favorite for me, around the -200 mark.
Recommended selection:
Kolar ML – 2 units @ -111 (1.90, 9/10)
Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Joao Sousa
Tseng’s 20-5 record on clay this year is quite impressive even if it has come against Challenger-level players. The 20-year-old did not have the toughest road in qualifying but looked very good and did not drop a set. Sousa is also coming in with good form, mostly struggling this clay season before pulling off a great run to the Geneva final. The 33-year-old did have to play a three-hour final against Casper Ruud so he still might be carrying some fatigue into this match. Either way, I see Tseng as the favorite so I will be backing him here.
Recommended selection:
Tseng ML – 1.5 units @ -125 (1.80, 4/5)
Holger Rune vs Denis Shapovalov
We should be cautious betting on Rune in slams as his cramping issues are well-documented at this point but this line on him here is quite attractive. The Dane has gone 17-4 on European clay this spring winning a Challenger as well as his first main tour title in Munich. Rune also comes in with some nice form, reaching the semifinals in Lyon last week. Shapovalov’s last week went quite differently as he was dumped out of the Geneva first round by Ilya Ivashka. The Canadian’s 2-3 main draw Roland Garros record is not great, especially since the losses were to Maximilian Marterer, Jan-Lennard Struff, and Roberto Carballes Baena. Rune is priced as an outsider when he is a pretty solid favorite in my eyes, so there is a good amount of value here.
Recommended selection:
Rune ML – 1.5 units @ +120 (2.20, 6/5)
Recommended selections are based on a 5-unit betting system where 1 unit is a minimum stake, and 5 units is the maximum stake.
This article is intended for entertainment purposes only. LWOS makes no guarantees that the picks will win. Only gamble where it is legal to do so, and only amounts you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Main Photo from Getty.
