The WTA Berlin final will be played on Sunday. Jessica Pegula fought three long sets but managed to overcome Aryna Sabalenka with a rather surprising 6-0 third set after a back-and-forth affair in the other two sets, including a tiebreaker in the second set. Linda Noskova easily overcame Alexandra Eala, and her reward is the No. 4 player in the World. From there, it’s on to the first round for Wimbledon, regardless of the result on Sunday. What matters now is the trophy and the WTA points, all 500 of them for the champion. LWOS has our best bet for the final. Post your best bets and thoughts in the comments.
WTA Berlin
Pegula – Noskova: Time 6:00 EST
H2H: 1-2
Jessica Pegula had only beaten Aryna Sabalenka three times prior to their 13th career match in the semifinals here in Berlin. It would be a testy first couple of sets, but Pegula absolutely cruised in the third set, winning 6-0. As mentioned earlier, the third set came out of absolutely nowhere, as Sabalenka had just won the second set in a 7-6 tiebreak. They’d played a 6-4 first set, so everything seemed teed up for a war in the third. That did not happen in any way, shape, or form. 41 unforced errors and nine double faults will do that to you in a semifinal against a fellow top player.
Linda Noskova made the Berlin final after taking out Alexandra Eala for the second time in 2026. Eala had put forth a remarkable run into the semifinals, beating Donna Vekic, Elena Rybakina, and Elina Svitolina on her way to the semis. Noskova had a little more difficulty beating Eala in Berlin, as compared to her 6-2, 6-0 victory over her at Indian Hills. Noskova is 2-1 against Pegula, as her only loss came here in Germany, but at Bad Homburg in 2025. That semifinal match went all three sets, and so did their last affair in Beijing.
Best Bet to Make
If Pegula is going to win in Berlin, it’s likely going to be in three sets. Their last two matches were back-and-forth the entire way, and Noskova is playing well enough right now to bolster those chances. The books think this match will be kept to two sets, but Noskova is playing well enough to win if Pegula isn’t focused. I’ve been burned by calling a couple of different correct scores during Berlin, so even though I am pretty sure this is going three sets, I’m going to suggest taking the over on 23 games.
That being said, betting on the over on 23 games is a value bet for sure.
Value bet/ the best odds: over on 23 games @1.91 @1xBet
Main Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
