The ATP Masters 1000 Madrid second round on April 24 features a mix of in-form favourites and solid value picks. Valentin Vacherot’s recent performances make him a strong choice, Jan-Lennard Struff’s experience in Madrid gives him the edge, while Jannik Sinner’s dominant winning streak suggests another comfortable victory.
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid 1/32-Finals
Nava – Vacherot: 24.04.2026 11:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Emiliano Nava has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Munich, the American lost to Shelton in the opening round in three sets. He hopes for a solid result this week to get into the top 100 in the rankings. This week in Madrid, Nava defeated Brooksby in the opening round in straight sets.
Valentin Vacherot has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Monte Carlo, where he lost to Alcaraz in the semifinals in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Vacherot is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing at the Masters 1000 level and is currently one of the best in-form players. We expect him to dominate in this match.
That being said, Vacherot covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Valentin Vacherot -2.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Struff – Michelsen: 24.04.2026 11:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jan-Lennard Struff has lost four of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, the German defeated Muller in the opening round in straight sets. He trailed 0-4 in the opening set, but turned it around.
Alex Michelsen has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Munich, Michelsen lost to Rinderknech in the opening round in straight sets. He has never made it past the opening round in Madrid.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Struff played well under pressure against Muller and enjoys playing in Madrid. On the other hand, Michelsen has never made it past the opening match here. We expect Struff to be a better player.
That being said, Struff winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jan-Lennard Struff winning @1.91 @bet365
Sinner – Bonzi: 24.04.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: 3-0
Jannik Sinner has won seventeen straight matches. The Italian has won three consecutive Masters 1000 titles in Indian Wells, Miami and Monte Carlo.
Benjamin Bonzi has won three of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, Bonzi qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the opening main draw round, the Frenchman defeated Droguet in three tight sets after losing the opening set.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sinner is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in incredible form and looks unstoppable. Bonzi has no weapons for his game. We expect a one-sided match.
That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -6.5 games handicap @1.62 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
