The ATP 500 Munich Round of 16 features several closely contested matchups with potential value on the underdogs. Alex Molcan’s strong form on clay makes him a serious threat. At the same time, Alexander Blockx and Arthur Rinderknech both showed solid performances in their opening matches and could keep things tight against higher-ranked opponents.
ATP 500 Munich 1/8-Finals
Altmaier – Molcan: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Daniel Altmaier has won three of his last five matches. This week in Munich, the German defeated Cilic in the opening round in straight sets. Last season in Munich, the German lost to Zverev in the second round in straight sets.
Alex Molcan has won four of his last five matches. This week in Munich, Molcan qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the opening main draw round, Molcan upset Bublik in the opening round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Molcan dominated in the opening match against Bublik. He enjoys playing on clay, and this is a decent chance to climb up the rankings.
That being said, Molcan winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex Molcan winning @2.00 @bet365
Blockx – Shelton: 15.04.2026 13:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Alexander Blockx has won four of his last five matches. This week in Munich, Blockx won the opening match against Hanfmann in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints.
Ben Shelton has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Munich, Shelton defeated Nava in three tight sets. He served well, hitting 14 aces. Last season in Munich, the American lost to Zverev in the final in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Shelton is the slight favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Blockx served well in the opening match and has played his best tennis over the past few weeks. On the other hand, Shelton struggled in the opening match. We expect Blockx to keep this match tight.
That being said, Blockx covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Blockx +1.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Rinderknech – Fonseca: 15.04.2026 11:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Arthur Rinderknech has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Munich, Rinderknech defeated Michelsen in the opening round in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints.
Joao Fonseca has won four of his last five matches. This week in Munich, Fonseca defeated Tabilo in the opening match in straight sets. He trailed in the opening round, but turned it around. Around this time last season, the Brazilian played in Madrid, where he lost to Paul in the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Rinderknech is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He offered no breakpoints in the opening match and enjoys playing on clay. We expect a close match that could go either way.
That being said, Rinderknech covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Arthur Rinderknech +3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
