The ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-finals continue with some high-quality matchups. Alcaraz looks to extend his winning streak against Dimitrov, Lehecka faces Baez in a hard-court clash, while defending champion Draper takes on Bautista-Agut. With form and surface advantage playing key roles, there are several strong betting angles to consider.
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-Finals
Alcaraz – Dimitrov: 07.03.2026 23:30 CEST
H2H: 4-2
Carlos Alcaraz has won fourteen straight matches. The last match he played was in Doha, where he won the title, defeating Fils in the final in straight sets. He has yet to lose a match this season.
Grigor Dimitrov has lost four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Dimitrov outlasted Atmane in the opening round in three tight sets. Last season at the Indian Wells, Dimitrov lost to Alcaraz in the fourth round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form and the best player in the world right now. On the other hand, Dimitrov struggled in the opening round against Atmane. We expect Alcaraz to dominate in this matchup and win easily.
That being said, Alcaraz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz -5.5 games handicap @1.62 @bet365
Baez – Lehecka: 08.03.2026 02:00 CEST
H2H: 2-1
Sebastian Baez has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Baez defeated Tseng in the opening round in straight sets. He offered and saved all three breakpoints.
Jiri Lehecka has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Dubai, Lehecka lost to Auger-Aliassime in the quarterfinals in straight sets. Last season in Indian Wells, Lehecka lost to Norrie in the second round in three sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Lehecka is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a better hard-court player than Baez. The Czech has all the weapons to dominate in this matchup and get a comfortable win.
That being said, Lehecka covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jiri Lehecka -3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Bautista-Agut – Draper: 07.03.2026 20:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Roberto Bautista-Agut has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, the Spaniard outlasted Marozsan in the opening round in three tight sets. He was great under pressure, saving eight out of nine breakpoints.
Jack Draper has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Dubai, the Brit lost to Rinderknech in the 1/8-Finals in three tight sets. He is the defending champion here. Last season, Draper defeated Rune in the final in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Draper is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Bautista-Agut turns 38 this season and just had a tough opening match. On the other hand, Draper is a defending champion here and enjoys playing in Indian Wells.
That being said, Draper covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jack Draper -4.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
