The ATP 500 Doha 1/16 finals feature exciting matchups, with big names and solid outsiders ready to challenge. With in-form stars, strong head-to-head records, and proven success on hard courts, Tuesday’s action in Doha promises plenty of intensity. Here’s a quick breakdown of the key clashes and where the betting value might lie.
ATP 500 Doha 1/16-Finals
Alcaraz – Rinderknech: 17.02.2026 17:30 CEST
H2H: 4-0
Carlos Alcaraz has won nine straight matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he won the title, winning against Djokovic in the final in four sets. Last season in Doha, Alcaraz lost to Lehecka in the quarterfinals in three tight sets.
Arthur Rinderknech has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Rotterdam, Rinderknech lost to Tsitsipas in the opening round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He leads 4-0 in head-to-head meetings against Rinderknech. Last season at the US Open, the Spaniard defeated Rinderknech in straight sets. We expect Alcaraz to dominate and get a comfortable win.
That being said, Alcaraz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz -5.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365
De Jong – Rublev: 17.02.2026 19:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Jesper de Jong has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Rotterdam, de Jong lost to Khachanov in the opening round, three tight sets to two.
Andrey Rublev has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Cerundolo in the third round in straight sets. The Russian is a two-time champion here in Doha. Last season, Rublev defeated Draper in the final in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Rublev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Rublev enjoys playing in Doha. He demolished de Jong in Barcelona last season in straight sets. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow as well.
That being said, Rublev winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Andrey Rublev winning 2-0 @1.50 @bet365
Munar – Khachanov: Time TBA
H2H: 1-2
Jaume Munar has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Rotterdam, Munar lost to Bublik in the quarterfinals in three tight sets. He hopes for a solid result this week to get closer to the top 30 in the rankings.
Karen Khachanov has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Rotterdam, Khachanov lost to Munar in three tight sets in the 1/8-Finals. He was the champion here in 2024. Last season in Doha, Khachanov lost to Medvedev in the opening round in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Khachanov enjoys playing in Doha and is a better hard-court player than Munar. Last week in Rotterdam, Khachanov made too many unforced errors, but was still close to winning the match. If he plays smart, we expect him to win.
That being said, Khachanov winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Karen Khachanov winning @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
