ATP Australian Open 1/16-Finals
Cilic – Ruud: 24.01.2026 10:30 CEST
H2H: 0-4
Marin Cilic has won three of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, the Croat demolished Altmaier in the opening round in straight sets. In the second round, Cilic demolished Shapovalov in straight sets as well. He looked unstoppable in both matches.
Casper Ruud has lost three of his last five matches. This week at the Australian Open, the Norwegian demolished Bellucci in straight sets. He offered and saved only one breakpoint. In the second round, Ruud defeated Munar in straight sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cilic is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He played the best tennis this week and enjoys playing in Melbourne. If he serves well, we expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Cilic covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Marin Cilic +3.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Khachanov – Darderi: 24.01.2026 00:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Karen Khachanov has won three of his last five matches. This week in Melbourne, the Russian defeated Michelsen in the opening round in five sets. In the second round, Khachanov demolished Basavareddy in straight sets. Last season, Khachanov lost to Michelsen in the third round in straight sets.
Luciano Darderi has won three of his last five matches. Darderi defeated Garin in the opening round in straight sets. In the second round, the Italian outlasted Baez in four sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Khachanov is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Darderi rarely succeeded on hard courts. On the other hand, Khachanov plays well in Australia. We expect him to dominate on his serve and win easily.
That being said, Khachanov covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Karen Khachanov -5.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Spizzirri – Sinner: 24.01.2026 02:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Eliot Spizzirri has won four of his last five matches. This is his debut campaign in Melbourne. In the opening main draw round, the American outlasted Fonseca in four sets. Spizzirri outlasted Wu in five tight sets after playing for almost four hours. Last season at the Australian Open, the American lost to Klein in the qualifying tournament.
Jannik Sinner has won four of his last five matches. Gaston retired in the opening round match against Sinner after being 0-2 down. In the second round, Sinner demolished Duckworth in straight sets. The Italian is a back-to-back Australian Open champion, winning consecutive titles in 2024 and 2025.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sinner is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Spizzirri has no weapons to match Sinner´s game. The Italian had easy opening matches, whilst the American spent many hours on the court. We expect Sinner to win easily.
That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -10.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
