It’s been a fascinating week of tennis so far at the ATP Almaty Open, with the field now narrowed to four. The indoor conditions have rewarded players who stay aggressive and take charge of points early, but control and patience have proven crucial too at the vital moments. As always, we here at LWOT will be offering our predictions for every match on the slate, but who will secure their spot in the final?
ATP Almaty Semifinal Predictions
Alex Michelsen vs Corentin Moutet
Head-to-head: Michelsen 1-1 Moutet
Alex Michelsen has grown in confidence as this week has progressed, showing off his trademark composure and clean shot-making through several tight matches – scoring wins over home hope Beibit Zhukayev, Aleksandar Vukic, and Shintaro Mochizuki. He’s handled pressure moments well, especially in his last outing, where his serve and transition play held firm when it mattered most.
Corentin Moutet has put together a strong run of his own, using his variety and quick hands to unsettle opponents and dictate with his lefty angles. The pair met earlier in the season in Cincinnati, where Michelsen came through to pull level in their head-to-head. Given both players’ current form, this one could swing on who manages their service games better and stays patient in the longer rallies. Right now that looks like being Moutet.
Prediction: Moutet in 3
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Daniil Medvedev vs James Duckworth
Head-to-head: Medvedev 1-0 Duckworth
After an encouraging run of results in China, Daniil Medvedev has looked more settled this week, using his deep return position and measured baseline play to frustrate his opponents and, ultimately, control proceedings. He came through a tricky quarterfinal, showing his ability to absorb pace and redirect it with precision on these courts.
James Duckworth, meanwhile, has been quietly efficient, relying on a solid serve and first-strike tennis to carve out his path to the last four. He’s yet to drop a set this week, and his aggressive mindset has paid off handsomely. Medvedev has the head-to-head advantage, but Duckworth’s current rhythm and willingness to take the ball early could make this a more competitive contest than expected.
Prediction: Medvedev in 2
Main photo credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
