ATP US Open 1/64-Finals
Musetti – Mpetshi Perricard: 26.08.2025 17:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Lorenzo Musetti has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Cincinnati, where he lost to Bonzi in the second round in three tight sets. The Italian has never made it past the third round here. Last season, Musetti lost to Nakashima in the third round.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Winston-Salem, the Frenchman had a solid run, eventually losing to Van de Zandschulp in the semifinals. Last season in New York, Mpetshi Perricard lost in the opening round to Etcheverry.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Musetti is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He won against Mpetshi Perricard last season, both times on grass. Mpetshi Perricard is still inexperienced at the Grand Slam level. We expect Musetti to get the job done easily.
That being said, Musetti covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Musetti -3.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Sinner – Kopriva: 26.08.2025 19:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jannik Sinner has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Cincinnati, where he retired mid-match against Alcaraz in the final. The Italian is the defending champion in New York. Last season, Sinner defeated Fritz in the final in straight sets.
Vit Kopriva has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Winston-Salem, Kopriva lost to Korda in the second round in straight sets. This is his debut campaign in the main draw of the US Open.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sinner is the big favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is the best player in the world and the biggest favourite to win the title in New York. On the other hand, Kopriva has never made it past the opening qualifying round at the US Open. We expect Sinner to dominate from the start until the end.
That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -10.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365
Harris – Auger-Aliassime: 26.08.2025 20:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Billy Harris has lost three of his last five matches. This week in New York, the Brit failed to qualify for the main draw tournament. However, with several players withdrawing from the tournament, he entered the main draw as a lucky loser.
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Cincinnati, where Sinner demolished him in the quarterfinals. In the past two editions, the Canadian exited both times in the opening round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Harris is the big underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. If the Brit serves well, we expect him to keep this match close. He will play without any pressure. On the other hand, Auger-Aliassime always struggles at the Grand Slam level.
That being said, Harris covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Billy Harris +7.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
