ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati 1/16-Finals
Tsitsipas – Bonzi: 11.08.2025 20:00 CEST
H2H: 3-0
Stefanos Tsitsipas has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, Tsitsipas was upset by O’Connell in the opening round. This week in Cincinnati, the Greek defeated Marozsan in the opening round in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving all three breakpoints.
Benjamin Bonzi has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Cincinnati, the Frenchman defeated Arnaldi in the opening round in three tight sets. After losing the opening set 6-7, Bonzi turned the match around after playing for three hours. In the second round, he upset Musetti in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Bonzi is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He had two great matches this week in Cincinnati and will be confident coming into this match. On the other hand, Tsitsipas struggled with his form throughout the whole season. We expect a tight match that could go either way.
That being said, Bonzi covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Benjamin Bonzi +2.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Sinner – Diallo: 12.08.2025 01:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jannik Sinner has won seven straight matches. The last match he played before the ATP Cincinnati was at Wimbledon, where he defeated Alcaraz in the final in four sets. Sinner is the defending champion in Cincinnati. Last season, the Italian defeated Tiafoe in the final in straight sets. This week, he demolished Galan in the opening round in straight sets.
Gabriel Diallo has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, the Canadian lost to Fritz in the third round in straight sets. This week, Diallo defeated Baez in the opening match in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sinner is the big favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form and the best player in the world. Diallo has no weapons to match Sinner’s game. We expect Sinner to win easily once again.
That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -5.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Khachanov – Brooksby: Time TBA
H2H: 0-1
Karen Khachanov has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, the Russian had a great run, reaching the final. He eventually lost to Shelton in three tight sets. This week in Cincinnati. Khachanov defeated Royer in straight sets in the opening match.
Jenson Brooksby has lost four of his last five matches. This week in Cincinnati, the Brit has been granted a wild card. In the second round, he defeated Cazaux in straight sets comfortably.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Khachanov is the big favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. He looked physically and emotionally tired in the opening match against Royer. On the other hand, Brooksby dominated against a solid opponent. We expect a tight match that could go either way.
That being said, Brooksby covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jenson Brooksby +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
