ATP 500 Queen’s Club 1/16-Finals
Alcaraz – Davidovich Fokina: 17.06.2025 16:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Carlos Alcaraz has won 13 straight matches. His last match was at the French Open when he made an epic comeback against Sinner in the final. His last grass court match was at Wimbledon last season when he defeated Djokovic in the final in straight sets.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was at the French Open when he lost in four sets against Lehecka in the second round. His last grass court match was last season in London when he lost in three sets against Tabilo in the opening round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the big favourite in this matchup, and we partially agree. However, after winning the French Open title, Alcaraz partied in Ibiza and stayed away from the tennis courts. On the other hand, Davidovich Fokina is prepared for the upcoming tournaments, and we expect him to keep this match tight.
That said, Davidovich Fokina covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +5.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Thompson – Munar: 17.06.2025 16:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Jordan Thompson has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Hertogenbosch, Thompson lost in the second round against Diallo in three tight sets. Last season in London, Thompson reached the semifinals at the Queen’s Club, eventually losing to Musetti in three sets.
Jaume Munar has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was at the French Open when he lost against Fils in five tight sets. His last grass court match was at Wimbledon last season when he lost against de Minaur in straight sets in the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Thompson is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a way better grass-court player than Munar. The Spaniard never succeeded on grass courts. We expect Thompson to dominate.
That being said, Thompson covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jordan Thompson -3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Diallo – Harris: 17.06.2025 17:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Gabriel Diallo has won five straight matches. Last week in Hertogenbosch, Diallo surprisingly won the title. He defeated Bergs in the final in straight sets and secured his maiden ATP title. With his recent solid performances, Diallo also secured a top 50 ranking.
Billy Harris has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Ilkley, Harris lost against Pinnington Jones in the second round of the Challenger tournament. This week in London, Harris has been granted a wild card.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Harris is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Diallo has just won his maiden ATP title and will be emotionally exhausted coming into this match. On the other hand, Harris is a solid grass-court player, and we expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Harris covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Billy Harris +3.5 games handicap @1.61 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
