ATP 500 Hamburg 1/16-Finals
Ymer – Muller: 19.05.2025 14:30 CEST
H2H: 3-0
Elias Ymer has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Oerias, Ymer lost in the 1/8-Finals against Garin in straight sets. He qualified for the main draw tournament this week in Hamburg, winning both qualifying matches in three tight sets.
Alexandre Muller has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, Muller lost against Tsitsipas in straight sets in the second round. He hopes for a solid result this week to keep his top-40 status.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Muller is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Ymer leads 3-0 in head-to-head meetings, but their last match was in 2021. Since then, Muller has improved drastically and is now a top-50 player. We expect the Frenchman to dominate in this match and win easily.
That being said, Muller covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexandre Muller -3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Zverev – Kovacevic: 19.05.2025 15:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Alexander Zverev has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, Zverev lost against Musetti in the quarterfinals in straight sets. He was the champion in Hamburg in 2023. Last season, Zverev finished as a runner-up, losing in three tight sets against Fils in the final.
Aleksandar Kovacevic has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Bordeaux, Kovacevic lost in the opening round of the Challenger tournament against Hemery in three tight sets. He qualified for the main draw tournament this week in Hamburg by winning both matches in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Zverev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing in Hamburg and is the biggest favourite to win this week’s title. On the other hand, Kovacevic never succeeded on clay courts.
That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -5.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Struff – Engel: 19.05.2025 18:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jan-Lennard Struff has lost four of his last five matches. His last match was three weeks ago in Estoril, where he lost in the opening round against Kecmanovic in straight sets. Struff is in terrible form and needs to start winning to stay in the top 100.
Justin Engel has won three of his last five matches. His last match was two weeks ago in Italy, where he lost in three tight sets in the opening round of the Challenger tournament against Skatov. He has been granted a wild card this week in Hamburg.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Engel is the big underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Struff is in terrible form. Engel, on the other hand, is an upcoming German talent. We expect him to put up a big fight and keep this match tight.
That being said, Engel covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Justin Engel +4.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images
