ATP 500 Hamburg 1/16-Finals
Dedura – Darderi: 18.05.2025 14:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Diego Dedura has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Italy, Dedura played at an ITF tournament, where he lost against Speziali in the 1/8-Finals. This will be his first appearance in Hamburg. He has been granted a wildcard.
Luciano Darderi has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Turin, He lost in straight sets in the opening round of the Challenger tournament against Passaro. This will be his second appearance in Hamburg. Last season, He reached the quarterfinals, eventually losing against Baez in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Darderi is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a more experienced and better clay-court player than Dedura. The German is still at the ITF level and needs time to reach the highest level. We believe Darderi will dominate this match from the start until the end.
That being said, Darderi winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Luciano Darderi winning 2-0 @1.40 @FanDuel
Martinez – Cerundolo: 18.05.2025 16:00 CEST
H2H: 1-2
Pedro Martinez has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, Martinez lost against Hurkacz in the second round in straight sets. This will be his third appearance in Hamburg. Last season, the Spaniard reached the semifinals, losing against Zverev in straight sets.
Francisco Cerundolo has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, Cerundolo reached the 1/8-Finals, losing against Sinner in straight sets. The Argentine has had a solid clay court season so far. He was the semifinalist here in 2022. Last season, Cerundolo lost against Martinez in the quarterfinals.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cerundolo is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form, and we expect him to be a better player tomorrow. Martinez underperformed this season on clay courts, especially for the last couple of weeks.
That being said, Cerundolo winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Cerundolo winning 2-0 @1.80 @bet365
Baez – Ugo Carabelli: Time TBA
H2H: 5-0
Sebastian Baez has lost four straight matches, all in three tight sets. His last win was over a month ago in Barcelona. Last week in Bordeaux, the Argentine lost in three tight sets against Hijikata in the opening round. Last season in Hamburg, Baez lost in the semifinals against Fils in straight sets.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won three of his last five matches. This week in Turin, the Argentine played at the Challenger tournament, where he lost against Bu in the semifinals in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Baez is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He always delivered in Hamburg and has more experience than Ugo Carabelli at the highest level. The odds are high on him because he is in bad form, but we expect him to step up his level and end his losing streak.
That being said, Baez winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Sebastian Baez winning @1.53 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: David Kirouac-USA TODAY Sports
