ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/8-Finals
Khachanov – Alcaraz: 13.05.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: 0-4
Karen Khachanov has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, he won the opening match against Burruchaga in three tight sets. In the third round, Passaro had no answer for Khachanov. After only one hour on the court, Khachanov defeated the young Italian 6-3, 6-0. Last season in Rome, Khachanov lost against Tabilo in the fourth round.
Carlos Alcaraz has won four of his last five matches. This is his second appearance in Rome. In the opening round, Alcaraz won against Lajovic 6-3 6-3. The Spaniard faced another Serb in the third round. He trailed 1-3 in the opening set against Djere but turned it around. In his debut campaign, the Spaniard lost against Marozsan in the third round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. In their four head-to-head meetings, Khachanov never won a single set. They have played three times on clay, and Alcaraz has dominated every time. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow as well.
That being said, Alcaraz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz -4.5 games handicap @1.81 @bet365
Musetti – Medvedev: 13.05.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Lorenzo Musetti has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, Musetti had a great run. He was eventually stopped in the semifinals, losing against Draper in straight sets. This week in Rome, Musetti won against Virtanen in straight sets in the opening round. He offered no breakpoints. The Italian won against Nakashima 6-4 6-3 in the third round. This time, Musetti offered only one breakpoint and saved it.
Daniil Medvedev has won three of his last five matches. Medvedev won the opening match against Norrie this week in Madrid in straight sets. He won against Popyrin 6-4 6-1 in the third round. Medvedev was great under pressure, saving six out of seven breakpoints. Last season in Madrid, Medvedev reached the quarterfinals, losing against Ruud in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Musetti is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Medvedev leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings against Musetti, but both matches were on hard courts. However, Musetti is a clay-court specialist and is a better clay-court player than Medvedev. With the help of the packed crowd, we expect Musetti to win against Medvedev tomorrow.
That being said, Musetti winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Musetti winning @1.57 @bet365
Hurkacz – Mensik: 13.05.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Hubert Hurkacz has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, He won the third-round match against Giron in three sets.
Jakub Mensik has won four of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Mensik won both matches in straight sets. In the third round, the Czech defeated Marozsan 6-4, 7-6.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Mensik is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Hurkacz struggles on clay, so we expect Mensik to be a better player and win easily.
That being said, Mensik covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jakub Mensik -2.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
