ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/16-Finals
Musetti – Nakashima: 11.05.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Lorenzo Musetti has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, Musetti had a great run. He was eventually stopped in the semifinals, losing against Draper in straight sets. This week in Rome, Musetti won against Virtanen in straight sets in the opening round.
Brandon Nakashima has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Thompson withdrew from the opening match against Nakashima in the opening round. He has made it to the third round without having to play.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Musetti is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a clay-court specialist and will have a packed crowd on his side. Nakashima has no weapons for Musetti’s game on clay.
That being said, Musetti covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Musetti -4.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365
Draper – Kopriva: 11.05.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Jack Draper has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, Draper lost against Ruud in the final in three tight sets. This week in Rome, the Brit defeated Darderi in the opening round. Last season in Rome, the Brit lost against Medvedev in the second round in straight sets.
Vit Kopriva has won four of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Kopriva qualified for the main draw tournament. In the opening main draw round, Kopriva easily beat Halys in straight sets. Yesterday, in the second round, he beat Baez in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Draper is the big favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is one of the best players in the world and has recently started playing great on clay as well. Kopriva is a Challenger Tour-level player, so we expect Draper to win easily.
That being said, Draper covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jack Draper -5.5 games handicap @2.20 @bet365
Gaubas – Zverev: 11.05.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Vilius Gaubas has won four of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Gaubas qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both matches in straight sets. In the second main draw round, he upset Shapovalov in straight sets.
Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. Zverev is the second seed this week in Rome. He is the defending champion in Rome. Last season, Zverev defeated Jarry in the final in straight sets. This week in Rome, he won his opening match against Ugo Carabeli 6-2 6-1.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Zverev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Gaubas had a solid run this week in Rome, but Zverev is too good. We believe Zverev will dominate from the start until the end and win easily.
That being said, Zverev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexander Zverev -5.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images
