ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/64-Finals
O’Connell – Norrie: 07.05.2025 15:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Christopher O’Connell has lost four of his last five matches. His last match was in Madrid, where he lost in the second round against Fritz in straight sets. This will be his third appearance in Rome. He has never made it past the opening round.
Cameron Norrie has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Norrie lost in the final qualifying round against Lajovic in three tight sets. However, with several players withdrawing from the tournament, Norrie entered the main draw as a lucky loser. Last season in Rome, Norrie lost in the third round against Tsitsipas in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Norrie is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. O’Connell never succeeded on clay nor in Rome. On the other hand, Norrie played well in the qualifying tournament and has more experience in Rome, where he scored decent wins against solid clay-court players. We expect Norrie to be a better player and win today.
That being said, Norrie winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Cameron Norrie winning @1.53 @bet365
Passaro – Tseng: 07.05.2025 16:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Francesco Passaro has won three of his last five matches. His last match was over a month ago in Naples, where he lost in the opening round of the Challenger tournament against Ymer. Last season in Rome, Passaro lost in the third round against Borges in three tight sets.
Chun Hsin Tseng has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Tseng qualified for the main draw tournament. In the final qualifying round, he defeated Cerundolo in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Tseng is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He won both qualifying matches this week in straight sets and played his best tennis. On the other hand, Passaro has not played any competitive matches for over a month. We expect Tseng to be a better player on the court.
That being said, Tseng winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Chun Hsin Tseng winning @1.62 @bet365
Gaubas – Dzumhur: 07.05.2025 17:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Vilius Gaubas has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Gaubas qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both matches in straight sets. In the final qualifying round, he defeated Dellien in straight sets.
Damir Dzumhur has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, the Bosnian lost in the third round against Arnaldi in straight sets. He hopes for a solid result this week to reach the top 50 in the rankings.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Dzumhur is having a great season. He had his biggest results at the Challenger Tour level. He will be confident coming into this match and is a better clay-court player than Gaubas.
That being said, Dzumhur winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Damir Dzumhur winning @1.91 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Scott Taetsch-USA TODAY Sports
