ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/64-Finals
Altmaier – Comesana: 07.05.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 1-0
Daniel Altmaier has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, Altmaier lost in the opening round against Jarry in straight sets. Last season in Rome, the German lost against Nardi in the opening round in straight sets.
Francisco Comesana has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, He lost in the third round against Cerundolo in straight sets. He hopes for a solid result to reach the top 50 in the rankings this week.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Comesana had a solid run last week in Madrid and is having his best season. He is a better clay-court player than Altmaier, and we expect him to win.
That being said, Comesana winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Comesana winning @1.80 @bet365
Arnaldi – Bautista-Agut: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Matteo Arnaldi has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, Arnaldi had a solid run, reaching the quarterfinals. He eventually lost against Draper in the quarterfinals in straight sets. Last season in Rome, Arnaldi lost against Jarry in the second round in straight sets. He has never made it past the second round here.
Roberto Bautista-Agut has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, the Spaniard lost in straight sets in the second round against Zverev. This will be his eighth appearance in Rome. He has never made it past the third round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Arnaldi is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. The young Italian had a solid run last week in Madrid and will be confident coming into this matchup. Bautista-Agut has struggled against the best clay-court players this season.
That being said, Arnaldi covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Arnaldi -3.5 games handicap @1.81 @bet365
Bellucci – Martinez: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Mattia Bellucci has lost four straight matches. His last win was over a month ago in the qualifying tournament in Monte Carlo. Last week in Aix en Provence, Bellucci lost in the opening round against Ramos-Vinolas in straight sets. His last appearance in Rome was in 2023, where he lost in the opening qualifying round.
Pedro Martinez has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Estoril, the Spaniard lost in the opening round against Vatutin in straight sets. Last season in Rome, Martinez lost in the opening round against Borges in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Martinez is the slight favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Both players are out of form. However, Bellucci is a bigger talent than Martinez, and we expect him to put up a big fight and keep this match tight.
That being said, Bellucci covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Mattia Bellucci +2.5 games handicap @1.88 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
