ATP Masters 1000 Madrid 1/32-Finals
J.M. Cerundolo – Auger-Aliassime: 25.04.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won four of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, Cerundolo qualified for the main draw tournament. In the opening main draw round, the Argentine defeated Kovacevic in three tight sets after losing the opening set 3-6.
Felix Auger-Aliassime has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Munich, Auger-Aliassime lost in the opening round against Navone in three tight sets. Last season in Madrid, Auger-Aliassime finished as a runner-up, losing against Rublev in the final.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cerundolo is the big underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Auger-Aliassime has played only two competitive matches on clay and lost both. On the other hand, Cerundolo has already won three matches in Madrid. We expect a tight match that could go either way.
That being said, Cerundolo covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Juan Manuel Cerundolo +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Medvedev – Djere: 25.04.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 2-1
Daniil Medvedev has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Monte Carlo, where he lost against de Minaur in the 1/8-Finals. Last season in Madrid, Medvedev reached the quarterfinals, losing against Lehecka.
Laslo Djere has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Barcelona, Djere lost against Alcaraz in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. This week in Madrid, the Serb demolished Fognini in the opening round 6-2 6-3.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Medvedev is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Djere is a solid clay-court player, and we expect him to put up a big fight and keep this match tight.
That being said, Djere covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Laslo Djere +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Fritz – O’Connell: 25.04.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Taylor Fritz has won four of his last five matches. His last match was in Miami, where Mensik upset him in the semifinals. His last clay court match was last season at the Olympic Games. Last season in Madrid, Fritz lost against Rublev in the semifinals.
Christopher O’Connell has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Munich, O’Connell lost against Darderi in the opening round. This week in Madrid, he defeated Ugo Carabelli in straight sets, saving eight out of nine breakpoints.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Fritz is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He had a great run last season in Madrid, where he feels comfortable playing at the highest level. He won both head-to-head meetings against O’Connell in straight sets, and we expect the same outcome tomorrow as well.
That being said, Fritz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Taylor Fritz -3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
