ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/64-Finals
Arnaldi – Wu: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Matteo Arnaldi has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Arnaldi lost in the third round against Nakashima in straight sets. This is his third appearance in Miami. Last season in Miami, the young Italian lost against Machac in the fourth round in straight sets.
Yibing Wu has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Shanghai in October of last year. Wu has not played competitive matches since October because he struggled with injuries. This will be his third appearance in Miami. He has never made it past the second round here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Arnaldi is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a top-40 player and one of the biggest Italian talents. Arnaldi had a solid run last week in Indian Wells under similar conditions. On the other hand, Wu has not played any competitive matches since October, and we expect him to be a little bit rusty in his opening match.
That being said, Wu winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Yibing Wu winning 2-0 @1.67 @bet365
Bergs – Borges: Time TBA
H2H: 2-1
Zizou Bergs has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, He lost in straight sets in the second round against Popyrin. This will be his third appearance in Miami. He has never made it past the opening round here.
Nuno Borges has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Borges lost against Dimitrov in the second round. Borges was stopped in the semifinals this week in Phoenix, losing against Bublik in straight sets. Borges has never made it past the opening round in Miami.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Borges is a better player on the biggest stage. He has played many matches in the last couple of weeks in the USA and will be ready for the opening match against Bergs.
That being said, Borges winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Nuno Borges winning @1.91 @bet365
Bautista-Agut – Mensik: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Roberto Bautista-Agut has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, the Spaniard lost in the opening round against Dzumhur in three tight sets. Last season in Miami, Bautista-Agut lost against Korda in the second round.
Jakub Mensik has won three of his last five matches. This week in Cap Cana, Mensik was stopped in the semifinals of the Challenger tournament, losing against Dzumhur in three tight sets. This is his debut appearance in the main draw tournament.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Mensik is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. The Spaniard is in terrible form and has won only once this season. On the other hand, Mensik is on the verge of entering the top 50 in the rankings. We expect him to continue his solid form and win easily against Bautista-Agut.
That being said, Mensik winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jakub Mensik winning 2-0 @2.10 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Andy Abeyta/Desert Sun/USAToday Network
