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Hugo Gaston French Open
March 14, 2025 By  Best Bets

ATP Phoenix Challenger Best Bets Including Fonseca vs Gaston

ATP Phoenix Challenger quarterfinals

Moutet – Bublik: 14.03.2025 20:30 CEST
H2H: 0-2

Corentin Moutet has won three of his last five matches. This week in Phoenix, Moutet won both matches in straight sets. In the 1/8-Finals, the Frenchman defeated Martinez in straight sets. He is getting ready for the upcoming Masters 1000 in Miami.

Alexander Bublik has lost three of his last five matches. Bublik struggled this week in Phoenix. In the opening round, the Kazakh defeated Vukic in three tight sets. Yesterday, in the 1/8-Finals, Bublik defeated another Aussie. Hijikata put up a big fight, but Bublik won the most important points of the match.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Moutet is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He was dominant in both matches this week. On the other hand, Bublik is in terrible form and does not look motivated on the court. We expect Moutet to be a better player tonight.

That being said, Moutet winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Corentin Moutet winning @1.67 @bet365

Nishikori – Cobolli: 14.03.2025 22:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Kei Nishikori has won three of his last five matches. This week in Phoenix, Nishikori won the opening round match against Nardi in straight sets. Kukushkin retired mid-match in the second round against Nishikori.  The Japanese started this season well by reaching the final in Hong Kong.

Flavio Cobolli has lost four of his last five matches. This week in Phoenix, Cobolli ended his seven-match losing streak. In the 1/8-Finals, Cobolli won against Spizzirri in three tight sets after spending almost three hours on the court. This has been a terrible season so far for the young Italian.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Nishikori is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He played well this week and dominated both matches. On the other hand, Cobolli has had a disappointing season so far. We expect Nishikori to be a better player tonight and win easily.

That being said, Nishikori winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Kei Nishikori winning @1.62 @bet365

Gaston – Fonseca: 15.03.2025 03:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Hugo Gaston has won four of his last five matches. This week in Phoenix, Gaston won both matches in straight sets. The Frenchman upset Opelka in the second round, winning in straight sets.

Joao Fonseca has won three of his last five matches. He dominated the opening-round match against Kotov, winning in straight sets. Yesterday, in the 1/8-Finals, the young Brazilian won against Struff in three sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Fonseca is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He is one of the best upcoming talents, and we expect him to be dominant against Gaston. The Frenchman has no weapons for Fonseca’s game. Fonseca has way better ground strokes, and we expect him to win this match easily in straight sets.

That being said, Fonseca winning in straight sets is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Joao Fonseca winning 2-0 @1.73 @bet365

Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports

About David Barisic

Tennis coach and player based in Zagreb, Croatia, David has been covering tennis betting and predictions for years. He speaks 3 languages fluently (Croatian, English, German)! David wrote for ProTipster for years. David is currently writing for LWOS and Hardwood Heroics, and has been writing for tennis, NBA, and Premier League departments. He finds daily the best bets for you!