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Frances Tiafoe in action ahead of the ATP Acapulco.
March 7, 2025 By  Best Bets

ATP Indian Wells Best Bets Including Tiafoe vs Dzumhur

ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-Finals

Fils – Diallo: 08.03.2025 02:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1

Arthur Fils has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Dubai, where he lost in the opening round against Borges in straight sets. It is his second appearance in Indian Wells. The Frenchman lost in the third round against Ruud in his debut campaign.

Gabriel Diallo has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Diallo won his opening-round match against Zhang in three tight sets after saving two match points in the deciding set. It was his first appearance in Indian Wells.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Fils is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a more experienced player than Diallo at the highest level. Diallo struggled in the opening round match against Zhang and was on the verge of losing the match. We expect Fils to be a better player tonight:

That being said, Fils winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Arthur Fils winning @1.62 @bet365

Machac – Watanuki: 08.03.2025 03:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Tomas Machac has won five straight matches. Last week, he won the title in Acapulco. This will be his third appearance in Indian Wells. Last season, he lost against Mannarino in the second round.

Yosuke Watanuki has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Watanuki qualified for the main draw tournament, winning both qualifying matches in straight sets. Watanuki defeated Bublik in three tight sets in the opening main draw round.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Machac is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He is coming into this matchup after winning the ATP 500 title in Acapulco, so he will be fully confident. We expect him to win easily tonight.

That being said, Machac winning in straight sets is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Tomas Machac winning 2-0 @1.73 @bet365

Dzumhur – Tiafoe: 08.03.2025 04:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Damir Dzumhur has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, He qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both qualifying matches in straight sets. In the opening main draw round, He defeated Bautista-Agut in three tight sets.

Frances Tiafoe has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Acapulco, where he lost against Davidovich Fokina in the second round. It is his ninth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the semifinals.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Tiafoe is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Dzumhur has had a favorable draw so far. However, he has no weapons for Tiafoe’s tennis. Tiafoe will have a packed crowd on his side tonight. We expect him to dominate this matchup from the start until the end.

That being said, Tiafoe winning in straight sets is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Frances Tiafoe winning 2-0 @1.83 @bet365

Main Photo Credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

About David Barisic

Tennis coach and player based in Zagreb, Croatia, David has been covering tennis betting and predictions for years. He speaks 3 languages fluently (Croatian, English, German)! David wrote for ProTipster for years. David is currently writing for LWOS and Hardwood Heroics, and has been writing for tennis, NBA, and Premier League departments. He finds daily the best bets for you!

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