ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-Finals
Ruud – Giron: 07.03.2025 22:00 CEST
H2H: 2-1
Casper Ruud has won three of his last five matches. His last match was in Acapulco, where he retired against Pacheco Mendez in the second round. It is his seventh appearance in Indian Wells. Last season, Ruud was stopped in the quarterfinals, which has also been his best result.
Marcos Giron has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Giron won the opening-round match against Basilashvili in straight sets. He lost in the opening-round match last season in Indian Wells.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Giron is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. We are not sure if Ruud will be fully ready for this matchup. On the other hand, Giron played well in the opening round match against Basilashvili. We expect Giron to be a better player tonight.
That being said, Giron winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Marcos Giron winning @2.38 @bet365
Berrettini – O’Connell: 07.03.2025 22:15 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Matteo Berrettini has won three of his last five matches. His last match was in Dubai, where he lost against Tsitsipas in the quarterfinals. It is his sixth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the fourth round.
Christopher O’Connell has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, he won the opening-round match against Carballes Baena in three sets. He was stopped in the second round last season.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Berrettini is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. O’Connell struggled against a clay-court specialist in the opening round. Berrettini is more experienced in playing at the highest level and more skilled than O’Connell.
That being said, Berrettini winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Berrettini winning 2-0 @1.63 @bet365
Michelsen – Smith: 07.03.2025 23:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Alex Michelsen has won three of his last five matches. His last match was in Acapulco, where he lost against Shapovalov in the second round. It is his third appearance in Indian Wells. Last season, Michelsen lost against Paul in the second round.
Colton Smith has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Smith qualified for the main draw tournament. In the opening main draw round, he won against Cobolli in three tight sets after losing the opening set 3-6.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Michelsen is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He is one of the most considerable American talents on the tour. On the other hand, Smith spent most of his career playing at the Challenger tour level tournaments. We expect Michelsen to be a better player tonight and win easily.
That being said, Michelsen winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex Michelsen winning 2-0 @2.10 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
