ATP Australian Open 1/64-Finals
Hurkacz – Griekspoor: 14.01.2025 02:30 CEST
H2H: 2-2
Hubert Hurkacz has lost three of his last five matches. So far this season, Hubert has played only one preparation tournament. At the beginning of the season, Hubert played in the United Cup. He lost the first two matches. However, after that, Hurkacz defeated Harris and Shevchenko and brought Poland to the finals, where they faced the USA. Hurkacz lost against Fritz in three tight sets. Last year in Melbourne, Hubert reached the quarterfinals, losing against Medvedev in five tight sets.
Tallon Griekspoor has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was last year in the Davis Cup, losing against Sinner in straight sets. Last season, Griekspoor did not have any remarkable results. This will be his sixth appearance here in Melbourne. His most significant result happened last season when he reached the third round, losing against Cazaux in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Hurkacz is the favorite in this match, and we agree. Hubert is a more experienced player at the highest level. He thrives under these conditions and has also played more competitive matches this season. Griekspoor played no competitive matches this season and has had some minor injury problems, so we believe that Hurkacz will win this match easily.
That being said, Hurkacz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Hubert Hurkacz -3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Fritz – Brooksby: 14.01.2025 02:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Taylor Fritz has won four of his last five matches. He started this season by losing against Auger-Aliassime in the United Cup in three tight sets. However, after that match, Fritz went on to win four straight matches, helping the USA win the United Cup. Last year in Melbourne, Fritz reached the quarterfinals, losing against Djokovic in four tight sets. That was also his biggest result in the Australian Open.
Jenson Brooksby has won three of his last five matches. His last competitive match was in 2023. He lost in the third round of the Australian Open to Tommy Paul in straight sets. Once ranked 33 in the world, Brooksby had a 2-year suspension related to missed drug tests. Now unranked, Brooksby said he is feeling fine on the court and ready to play in Melbourne. Brooksby also spoke about his autism spectrum disorder. He wants people to understand that autism is a part of his identity. This will be his second appearance in the Australian Open.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Fritz is the huge favorite in this matchup, and we partially agree. Brooksby has been out for two years now, but it was because of his doping case. He normally trained at that time and waited patiently for his moment to come. We believe that he will lose this match, but given his talent, we expect him to keep this match tighter than the bookies think.
That being said, Brooksby covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jenson Brooksby +8.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
