ATP 250 Adelaide 1/16-Finals
Rinderknech – O’Connell: 06.01.2025 09:00 CEST
H2H: 4-2
Arthur Rinderknech has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Brisbane, Arthur lost in the opening round against Nishioka in straight sets. The Frenchman was terrible on return and had no answer for Nishioka’s serve. Arthur hopes for a solid start into the 2025 season to reach the top 50 in the rankings. Last year in Adelaide, Arthur successfully qualified for the main draw. However, he failed in straight sets in the opening main draw round against Christopher O’Connell. Rinderknech enjoys playing on hard courts.
Christopher O’Connell has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Brisbane, Christopher lost in the opening round against Michelsen in three tight sets. Christopher even had a match point in the deciding tiebreak but fumbled under pressure. O’Connell enjoys playing on home soil in Australia. He will also have the crowd on his side tomorrow and in the Australian Open. Last year in Adelaide, O’Connell reached the quarterfinals, losing against Korda in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Christopher is the slight favorite in this match. We believe that he should have been a bigger favorite. When they faced last year in Adelaide, Christopher dominated from the start, and we expect a similar outcome tomorrow as well.
That being said, O’Connell winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Christopher O’Connell winning @1.73 @bet365
Bautista-Agut – Davidovich Fokina: 06.01.2025 07:30 CEST
H2H: 2-1
Roberto Bautista-Agut has won three of his last five matches. His last win was in Basel over two months ago. So far this season, Roberto did not play any competitive matches. The Spaniard is not the youngest player anymore. Still, he always has enough strength at the beginning of the season: Around this time last year, Roberto played in Auckland, where he was upset by Carballes Baena in the opening round.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Hong Kong, Alejandro lost in the opening round against Jaume Munar in three tight sets. After winning the first set 6-4 comfortably, Davidovich Fokina looked unserious on the court. He made too many unforced errors and looked disinterested on the court. We believe that he is saving his energy for the Australian Open. Around this time last year, Alejandro did not play any preparation tournaments besides the United Cup. Shortly after the United Cup, the Spaniard lost in the second round of the Australian Open against Borges in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this should be an almost 50-50 match, but we disagree. This surface is a better fit for Roberto’s playing style. Once again, we expect Alejandro to be unmotivated on the court. Roberto Bautista-Agut always does his best without any calculations, so we expect him to dominate this match and win easily.
That being said, Roberto winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Roberto Bautista-Agut winning @1.80 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
