ATP Masters 1000 Paris 1/32-Finals
Tsitsipas – Carballes Baena: 28.10.2024 19:00 CEST
H2H: 3-0
Stefanos Tsitsipas has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Basel, Stefanos reached the quarterfinals, where he lost against Fils in straight sets. So far this season, Tsitsipas has not had any remarkable results on the hard courts, which led to him being outside the top 10 in the rankings. The former world number 3 is yet to qualify for the ATP finals, and is looking for a decent result here in Paris to secure his sixth consecutive appearance. Last year in Paris, Tsitsipas reached the semifinals, where he lost against Dimitrov in three tight sets.
Roberto Carballes Baena has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Antwerp, Baena reached the second round, where he lost against de Minaur in three tight sets. Here in Paris, Baena won his first qualifying match in straight sets against Muller. After that, in the final qualifying round, Roberto lost against Sonego in straight sets, and failed to qualify for the main-draw tournament. However, Baena entered the main-draw tournament as a lucky loser. Last year in Paris, Baena failed to qualify for the main-draw tournament.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Tsitsipas is the big favorite in this matchup. We believe that he is a better hard-court player than Baena, and that he will win here easily. Stefanos played well last year in Paris, and we expect him to dominate in his opening match tonight.
That being said, Tsitsipas winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Stefanos Tsitsipas winning 2-0 @1.62 @bet365
Mannarino – Paul: 28.10.2024 20:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Adrian Mannarino has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Basel, Mannarino lost his opening match against Wawrinka in three tight sets. Mannarino struggled throughout the whole season, resulting in him dropping outside the top 50 in the rankings. Last season, Adrian had his biggest results. However, he underperformed on every surface this season. Last year in Paris, Adrian lost his opening match against Van de Zandschulp in straight sets.
Tommy Paul has won four of his last five matches. After winning the title in Stockholm, Tommy decided to play in Vienna, where he lost his opening match against Nakashima in straight sets. The American is fighting for a spot in the ATP Finals. He needs a solid result here in Paris to keep his chances of making his debut at the ATP Finals next month. Last year in Paris, Tommy reached the second round, where he lost against Van de Zandschulp in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Paul is the favorite in this matchup. He had some decent results on the indoor courts this season. On the other hand, Mannarino has been struggling with his form all year long. We expect Tommy to dominate from the very start, and win this match in straight sets.
That being said, Paul winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tommy Paul winning 2-0 @1.53 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
