ATP 500 Basel semifinals
Shelton – Fils: 26.10.2024 15:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Ben Shelton has won four of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Shanghai, Shelton reached the 1/8-Finals, when he lost against Sinner in straight tight sets as we predicted. Here in Basel, Ben had a favorable first round draw. Ben defeated Etcheverry in straight sets. Shelton served great as usual, and offered only one breakpoint. In the 1/8-Finals, Ben won against Wawrinka in straight sets as we predicted. Today, in the quarterfinals, the American won against Rublev in three tight sets as we predicted. Last year around this time, Shelton played in Vienna, where he lost in the first round of the tournament.
Arthur Fils has won four of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Shanghai, Fils was upset by Carballes Baena in the second round of the tournament. Here in Basel, Fils won his opening match against Altmaier in straight sets. After that, in the second round of the tournament, Arthur won against Martinez in straight sets. Today, in the quarterfinals, Arthur won against Tsitsipas in straight sets and played well throughout the whole match. Last year around this time, Arthur played in Vienna, where he lost his opening match against Medvedev in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this should be a 50-50 match. Both players have played well throughout this week. However, we believe that Shelton should have the upper hand in this matchup. Ben loves to play on the fast indoor courts, so we expect him to win this match.
That being said, Shelton winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ben Shelton winning @1.91 @bet365
Rune – Mpetshi Perricard: 26.10.2024 17:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Holger Rune has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Saudi Arabia, Rune played an exhibition tournament, where he lost against Alcaraz in straight sets. Rune is looking for a solid result this week, to get closer to the top 10 in the rankings. Here in Basel, Rune defeated Jarry in straight sets as we predicted. Holger served well, not offering any breakpoints. After that, in the 1/8-Finals, Rune won against Stricker in straight sets. Today, in the quarterfinals, Holger won against Goffin in straight sets as we predicted. Last year in Basel, Rune reached the semifinals, where he lost against Auger-Aliassime in straight sets.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Antwerp, Giovanni lost his opening match against Seyboth Wild in straight sets. Here in Basel, Giovanni won his opening match against Duckworth in straight sets. After that, in the 1/8-Finals, Mpetshi upset Auger-Aliassime in straight sets as well. Today in the quarterfinals, Giovanni defeated Shapovalov in three tight sets as we predicted.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Rune is the favorite in this matchup. Mpetshi plays great on the indoor courts. He is a heavy server, so we believe that he will win his service games easily. We expect him to keep this match tight, and cover the games handicap.
That being said, Giovanni covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard +3.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
