ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai 1/64-Finals
Zhang – Bergs: 03.10.2024 12:30 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Zhizhen Zhang has won three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Hangzhou, Zhang reached the final, where he lost against Marin Cilic in straight sets as we predicted. Zhizhen played a solid tournament throughout the whole week. Last week in Beijing, Zhang lost his opening match against Davidovich Fokina in three tight sets. With this result, Zhang cemented his top 50 status. Last year in Shanghai, Zhang reached the 1/8-Finals, losing against Hurkacz in three tight sets.
Zizou Bergs has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Bergs qualified for the main-draw tournament successfully. However, he lost against Musetti in the first round as we predicted. Bergs has not had any remarkable results this season. However, he was consistent throughout the whole season, which led to him cementing his top 100 status. Last year, around this time, Zizou played in Astana, where he failed to qualify for the main-draw tournament.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Zhang is the slight favorite in this matchup. With his recent results, we believe that Zhang will come into this match fully confident. He will also have the crowd on his side. Bergs is a solid hard court player, but he had his biggest results at the challenger tour level.
That being said, Zhang winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Zhizhen Zhang winning @1.67 @bet365
Wawrinka – Mpetshi Perricard: 03.10.2024 14:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Stanislas Wawrinka hs lost four of his last five matches. His last win was over two months ago at the Olympic Games. Last week in Beijing, Stan lost against Safiullin in the opening round in straight sets. Unfortunately for him, Wawrinka is struggling with his fitness and on-court movement, which is normal, considering his age. Last year in Shanghai, Stanislas lost his opening round match against Dusan Lajovic in straight sets.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Beijing, Mpetshi faced Alcaraz in the first round. Giovanni lost the match in straight sets, but kept it tight as we predicted. Before that, Mpetshi reached the 1/8-Finals in Chengdu, where he lost against Hanfmann in three tight sets as we predicted. This has been a breakthrough season for the young French talent. He loves to play on the fast courts such as this one. Last year around this time, Giovanni spent most of his time playing at the challenger tour level.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this should be a 50-50 match. Stanislas is in terrible form, and we believe that he will struggle once again on the court. On the other hand, this has been the biggest season for Giovanni. We believe that he will be a better player on the court, and win this match easily.
That being said, Mpetshi Perricard winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard winning @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Jonathan Hui-USA TODAY Sports
