ATP 500 Beijing semifinals
Medvedev – Alcaraz: 01.10.2024 10:00 CEST
H2H: 2-5
Daniil Medvedev has won three of his last five matches. Last week, Medvedev played in the Laver Cup, where he lost both of his matches against the Americans. Here in Beijing, Medvedev defeated Monfils in straight sets as we predicted. Gael struggled on the court, and just could not hold his serve throughout the whole match. Daniil played solidly throughout the whole match, and deservedly won in straight sets. After that, in the 1/8-Finals, Medvedev won against Mannarino in straight sets as we predicted. The Russian struggled in the first set, and even had to save one set point in the tiebreak. However, the second set was one-sided in Daniil´s favor. Today, in the quarterfinals, Medvedev defeated Cobolli in straight sets as we predicted. It was another easy match for the Russian, who is yet to lose a set here in Beijing. The former number 1 won five titles last season. However, so far this season, Medvedev is yet to lose a set. Daniil had his biggest results this season on the faster courts, such as this one. Last year in Beijing, Medvedev reached the final, where he lost against Sinner in two tiebreaks. That being said, Daniil has a lot of points to defend this week.
Carlos Alcaraz has won seven straight matches. Alcaraz helped Team Europe win the Laver Cup. He won both of his singles matches in straight sets, and showed great tennis. After Carlos lost in the final of the Olympic Games against Djokovic, his form dropped. It affected him mentally, but it looks like Carlos is playing at the highest level yet again. Here in Beijing, Carlos defeated Mpetshi Perricard in tight straight sets as we predicted. Mpetshi served well, but fumbled under pressure when it was most important. After that, in the 1/8-Finals, Alcaraz showed great tennis, winning against Griekspoor 6-1 6-2. Carlos did not offer any breakpoints throughout the whole match. It was one of his best matches as of recently. Today, in the quarterfinals, Carlos defeated Khachanov in straight sets. The first set was a roller coaster, but Alcaraz stayed calm and won the set 7-5. The second set was one-sided in his favor. Last week, Carlos lost his world number 2 ranking to Alexander Zverev. However, with his recent run here in Beijing, Alcaraz quickly returned to 2nd spot in the world. Last year in Beijing, Alcaraz reached the semifinals, where he lost against Jannik Sinner in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the favorite in this matchup. Carlos won the last three head-to-head meetings against Daniil. Even though Daniil had not lost a single set in Beijing, he still did not play his best tennis. On the other hand, Carlos was dominant from the very start, and played his best tennis. We believe that Alcaraz will be a better player on the court, and that he will continue his winning streak.
That being said, Alcaraz winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz winning 2-0 @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
