WTA US Open final
Pegula – Sabalenka: 07.09.2024 22:00 CEST
H2H: 2-5
Jessica Pegula has won six straight matches. Pegula lost only one set throughout the whole tournament. The American crowd was cheering for her throughout the whole tournament. Jessica won her opening round against Rogers in straight sets. She struggled a little bit in the first set, but other than that, Pegula played a great match. In the second round, Pegula won against Kenin in straight sets. In an all-Americanbattle, Jessica was the better player throughout the whole match. After that, in the third round, Pegula won against Bouzas Maneiro in straight sets yet again. Jessica struggled in that match with her rhythm, but Bouzas was terrible and gave her a lot of points. Diana Shnaider also had no answer against Jessica in the 1/8-Finals. Pegula was great from the very start, and did not offer much. When she plays like that, Pegula can win against anyone. In the quarterfinals, Pegula upset Swiatek in straight sets. Jessica played flat and aggressive shots from the very start, which paid off. Swiatek looked helpless on the court, which we do not see very often. Yesterday in the semifinals, Pegula defeated Muchova in three tight sets as we predicted. Pegula lost the first set 1-6, but managed to turn the match around. Last year in New York, Pegula lost in the 1/8-Finals of the tournament.
Aryna Sabalenka has won her last 11 matches. Before the US Open, Sabalenka defeated Pegula in the Cincinnati final, which was a great preparation tournament for the US Open. Here in New York, Sabalenka lost only one set en route to the quarterfinals. In the first round, Sabalenka won against Hon, who is ranked outside the top 200, in straight sets. After that, in the second round, Aryna defeated Bronzetti in straight sets once again. Aryna served well throughout the whole match, not offering any breakpoints. Her toughest match was in the third round against Alexandrova. Aryna lost the first set 2-6, but stayed calm and turned the match around. In the 1/8-Finals, Sabalenka dominated against Mertens, winning in easy straight sets. This time, Sablenka scored eight breakpoints, but saved all of them. She played aggressively well, hitting 41 winners with 28 unforced errors. In the quarterfinals, Aryna dominated against Zheng, losing only three games in the match. Sabalenka offered only one breakpoint at the beginning of the first set, but saved it. In the semifinals, Aryna defeated Navarro in straight tight sets as we predicted. She has reached the semifinals here in New York for the fourth year in a row. Last year in New York, Aryna lost in the final of the tournament against Coco Gauff.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sabalenka is the big favorite in this matchup. Pegula is playing her best tennis, and we believe that, with the help of the crowd, Jessica could win the US Open. Sabalenka had a great tournament so far as well. However, we believe that this match could go either way, so we will back Pegula up.
That being said, Pegula covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jessica Pegula +4.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
