ATP Masters 1000 Montreal 1/32-Finals
Tiafoe – Tabilo: 07.08.2024 02:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Frances Tiafoe has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Washington, Frances reached the semifinals where he lost against Korda in straight sets as we predicted. A week before that, Frances reached the quarterfinals in Atlanta where he lost against Nishioka in straight sets as we predicted. These last two weeks were much needed for his self-confidence to get ready for the US Open. Last year in Montreal, Frances lost in the first round of the tournament against Raonic in three tight sets.
Alejandro Tabilo has lost three straight matches. The last match he won was over a month ago at Wimbledon. Last week in Paris, Alejandro lost in the first round of the Olympic Games against Safiullin in straight sets. His last hard court match was in Miami in March, when he lost in the second round against Dimitrov. Alejandro is looking to get a decent result this week to get into the top 20. So far this season, the Chilean has won two ATP titles and played overall great throughout the whole season.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Tiafoe is the slight favorite in this matchup. We believe that he is the favorite just because he is still a bigger name than Tabilo. Looking at their performances this season, Tabilo has performed way better than Tiafoe throughout the whole season. We believe that Tabilo is a better player at the moment, and that he will win his first round match easily.
That being said, Tabilo winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alejandro Tabilo winning @2.38 @bet365
Auger-Aliassime – Cobolli: 07.08.2024 Time TBA
H2H: 0-1
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Paris, Felix lost the match for the 3rd place at the Olympic Games against Musetti in three tight sets as we predicted. Felix reached the semifinals at the Olympic Games, but failed against Alcaraz as we predicted. His last hard court match was in Miami in March, when he lost in the second round against Zverev in straight sets. Last year, Felix lost in the first round of the tournament against Purcell in straight sets.
Flavio Cobolli has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Washington, Cobolli reached the final where he lost against Korda in three sets. It was the biggest result of the season for the young Italian, and a great tournament preparation for the upcoming American swing.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cobolli is the underdog in this matchup. Felix lost two straight matches at the Olympic Games and failed to win a medal. This will definitely impact him. On the other hand, Cobolli played a great preparation tournament in Washington. He will be confident and ready for his opening match against Felix. We believe that he will have a decent chance at winning this match, but we will go with the safer option.
That being said, Cobolli covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Flavio Cobolli +3.5 games handicap @1.71 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Jonathan Hui-USA TODAY Sports
