ATP 500 Washington final
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Korda – Cobolli: 04.08.2024 23:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Sebastian Korda has won three of his last five matches. This is his first tournament after he lost in the first round of Wimbledon against Mpetshi Perricard. Here in Washington, Korda finally found his way. Sebastian had it easy in the first round against Garin. Korda was great under pressure, saving all three breakpoints. He ended up winning the match 6-3 6-2. In the 1/8-Finals, Kokkinakis retired against Korda mid-match. Thanasi won the first set 7-6. After that, Korda was 1-4 down in the second set, and even had to save two match points. Once he saved those match points, Korda stepped up his level and turned the set around. In the deciding set, Korda broke Kokkinakis´s serve when Thanasi decided to retire. In the quarterfinals, Sebastian won easily in straight sets against Thompson, without losing his serve. He offered only one breakpoint, and saved it. Yesterday in the semifinals, Sebastian defeated Tiafoe in straight sets as we predicted. Once again, Korda served brilliantly. He offered only one breakpoint and saved it as well. This is the first final of the season for Sebastian. So far in his career, Korda has played 8 finals, and has a losing 1-7 record.
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Flavio Cobolli has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Umag, Cobolli lost in the 1/8-Finals against Lajovic in straight sets. Here in Washington, Cobolli won his first round match against Goffin in straight sets. Flavio won every important point in the first set, and managed to close the set through the tiebreak. In the second set, Cobolli was the better player from the very start and won the set 6-3 easily. After that, in the second round, Flavio lost the first set against Davidovich Fokina. However, Flavio picked up his level and won the second and third deciding sets through tiebreaks. It was a roller-coaster match, with both players struggling with their consistency. In the quarterfinals, Cobolli won against Michelsen in three tight sets. Cobolli spent almost three hours on the court. Once again, there were many ups and downs in that match, but Flavio looked calmer on the court and got the job done. Yesterday in the semifinals, Flavio upset Ben Shelton in three tight sets. Once again, Cobolli spent a lot of time on the court. Cobolli lost the first set, but stayed calm and turned the match around. This will be his biggest match of his career. Flavio has a chance to win his maiden title this Sunday.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Korda is the favorite in this matchup. Looking at his experience, we believe that he will handle the pressure better than Cobolli today. Overall, Sebastian is a better hard-court player than Cobolli. Both players are fighting for their first title of the season. That is why we believe that experience will be the main factor in this match. Other than that, Cobolli spent much more time on the court than Korda this week.
That being said, Korda winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Sebastian Korda winning 2-0 @1.91 @bet365
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Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
