ATP Olympic Games 1/8-Finals
Baez – Tsitsipas: 31.07.2024 Time TBA
H2H: 0-2
Sebastian Baez has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Kitzbuhel, Baez reached the quarterfinals where he lost against Gaston in three tight sets. Here in Paris, Sebastian lost his first round match against Monteiro in straight sets. Baez was great under pressure, saving all seven breakpoints. After that, in the second round, Sebastian had it tough against Benjamin Hassan. Baez won that match in three tight sets. Sebastian even had to save one breakpoint in the deciding set.
Stefanos Tsitsipas has won four of his last five matches. Ten days ago in Gstaad, Stefanos lost his semifinal match against Berrettini in straight sets. Here in Paris, Tsitsipas won his first round match against Bergs in three sets. Stefanos spent over two hours on the court. In the second round, Stefanos dominated against Dan Evans from the very start. He ended up winning the match 6-1 6-2. Tsitsipas did not offer any breakpoints, and served well throughout the whole match.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Baez is the big underdog in this matchup. Sebastian is a very solid clay court player, so we believe that he will perform well against Stefanos. Tsitsipas is obviously the favorite, but Baez should be able to keep this match tight.
That being said, Baez covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Sebastian Baez +4.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Djokovic – Koepfer: 31.07.2024 Time TBA
H2H: 1-0
Novak Djokovic has won four of his last five matches. Here in Paris, Novak absolutely dominated against Ebden in his first round match as we predicted. In the second round, Novak won easily against Rafael Nadal in straight sets. Nadal looked exhausted on the court, and did not offer much. Nole was 4-0 up in the second set, but lost his serve twice. However, Novak stayed calm and finished the match in straight sets. Something we do not say too often, but Novak is yet to win a title this season. His whole focus is on the Olympic Games, because that is the only tournament he ever won.
Dominik Koepfer has won three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Hamburg, Baez lost his first round match against Baez in straight sets. Here in Paris, Dominik won his first round match against Raonic after three tiebreaks. In the second round, Koepfer upset Arnaldi in a roller coaster match. Both players made many unforced errors, and it was overall a low-quality match.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Novak is the big favorite in this matchup. Koepfer has spent a lot of time already on the court in his first two matches. On the other hand, Novak won both of his matches without any problems. We believe that Djokovic will get the job done easily against Koepfer tomorrow.
That being said, Djokovic covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Novak Djokovic -6.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
