ATP Mallorca quarterfinals
Michelsen – Ofner: 27.06.2024 Time TBA
H2H: 1-0
Alex Michelsen has won four of his last five matches. Last week, Michelsen lost in the first round of the ATP Halle against Berrettini in straight sets. Here in Mallorca, Michelsen won his first round match against Borges in straight sets. He saved both breakpoints, and played calmly under pressure. Yesterday, in the second round, Michelsen defeated Mannarino in straight sets as well. This time, Michelsen lost his serve two times in the first set. However, his return game was great, so he still managed to win in straight sets. Last year in Mallorca, Michelsen lost in the first round against Eubanks.
Sebastian Ofner has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Halle, Ofner lost in the first round against Zhang. Here in Mallorca, Ofner had a solid first round performance, winning against Munar in three tight sets. Yesterday, Sebastian defeated Darderi in straight sets. He had 24 winners with only 10 unforced errors. Ofner lost his serve only once, but was still able to win the match in straight sets. Sebastian never had any remarkable results on grass courts.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this should be a 50-50 match. Michelsen is a very solid grass court player with a huge serve. We believe that he is a better grass court player than Ofner, and that he will go deep this week.
That being said, Michelsen winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex Michelsen winning @1.73 @bet365
Monfils – Bautista-Agut: 27.06.2024 Time TBA
H2H: 4-1
Gael Monfils has won three of his last five matches. This is the first grass court tournament of the season for Gael. Before that, the last time Gael played on grass was in 2021 at Wimbledon, where he lost in the second round against Martinez. So far in Mallorca, Monfils has won both of his matches in straight sets. In the first round, Monfils defeated Thiem 6-3 7-6. Gael served well, not offering any breakpoints. In the second round, Gael defeated Carballes Baena 6-3 6-4, while saving the only breakpoint he offered. His serve is great, which helps him win some free points on his serve.
Roberto Bautista-Agut has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Halle, Roberto failed to qualify, losing in the final qualification round against Purcell. Here in Mallorca, Agut has the support of the crowd. In the first round, Agut only lost one game against Taro Daniel. It was one of his best performances this season. In the second round, Agut defeated Ugo Humbert after being one set down.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this should be a 50-50 match. The players never played against each other on grass. However, we believe that Roberto is a way better grass court player than Monfils at this point. Gael has had an easy draw so far, and this will be the first tough match for him.
That being said, Agut winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Roberto Bautista-Agut winning @1.91 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
