ATP 500 Queen’s semifinals
Thompson – Musetti: 21.06.2024 14:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Jordan Thompson has lost three of his last five matches. Now that the clay court part of the season is over, Jordan will get back to his winning runs. Last week in Hertogenbosch, Thompson lost against Milos Raonic in straight sets. Here in London, Jordan won the first round match against Rune in three sets. Thompson played great, and offered only one breakpoint. In the second round, against Murray, Jordan led 4-1 with the double break in the first set before Murray retired. Andy had unfortunately struggles with his back, and could not continue the match. In the quarterfinals, Thompson won against Fritz in straight sets as we predicted. Last year in London, Thompson lost in the 1/8-Finals against Norrie.
Lorenzo Musetti has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Stuttgart, Lorenzo reached the semifinals where he lost against Matteo Berrettini in straight sets. En route to the semifinals, Lorenzo had some solid wins. Here in London, Lorenzo upset Alex de Minaur in the first round in straight sets. In the second round, Lorenzo won against Brandon Nakashima in three tight sets. Musetti was great under pressure, saving 10/12 breakpoints. In the quaterfinals, Musetti defeated Harris as we predicted. Last year in London, Musetti lost in the quarterfinals against Holger Rune.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this should be a almost 50-50 match. Thompson is a way better grass court player, and we believe that he will win comfortably.
That being said, Thompson winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jordan Thompson winning @1.80 @bet365
Korda – Paul: 21.06.2024 16:00 CEST
H2H: 3-1
Sebastian Korda has won four of his last five matches. Last week, Korda reached the final in Hertogenbosch where he lost against de Minaur in straight sets. En route to the final, Korda won against some very good grass court players such as Tommy Paul and Tallon Griekspoor. Here in London, Korda won his first round match against Khachanov in two tight sets. After that, Korda won against Dimitrov in the second round in three tough sets. In the quarterfinals, Korda won in three tough sets against Hijikata. Last year in London, Sebastian reached the semifinals where he lost against Alcaraz in straight sets.
Tommy Paul has won four of his last five matches. Last week, Paul reached the quarterfinals in Hertogenbosch where he lost against Sebastian Korda in straight sets. Here in London, Paul won his first round match against Sebastian Baez in straight sets. In the second round, Paul won against Jarry comfortably in straight sets. Tommy upset Draper in the quarterfinals, winning in three sets. Last year in London, Paul lost against Francisco Cerundolo in the first round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this should be a 50-50 match. Tommy Paul has shown better tennis so far in the tournament. We believe that he is a better grass court player than Korda.
That being said, Paul winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tommy Paul winning @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit:Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
