ATP 250 Stuttgart 1/16-Finals
Giron – Murray: 11.06.2024 14:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Marcos Giron has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the French Open, where he lost against Kovalik in the first round. Giron had some solid wins on grass, but never had any remarkable results. Last year in Stuttgart, Giron lost in the first round against Lehecka in three sets. This season was rough for him, which led to him getting out of the top 50 in the rankings. This will be his first grass court match of the season.
Andy Murray has lost four of his last five matches. This is his favorite part of the season. Andy is, unfortunately, struggling with his fitness issues. The last match he played was at the French Open as well, where he lost in the first round against Wawrinka as we predicted. Andy is a former Wimbledon champion. Last year, Andy won a couple of challenger titles on grass. However, Andy struggled at the ATP tour level.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Andy is just a slight favorite in this matchup. Even though his form is terrible at the moment, Murray is still a great grass court player. The surface will be very fast at the beginning of the tournament, so we expect shorter rallies. Andy should be able to keep up physically in the first round.
That being said, Murray winning the match is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Andy Murray winning @1.57 @bet365
Cobolli – Struff: 11.06.2024 16:30 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Flavio Cobolli has won three of his last five matches. Cobolli had two very solid matches at the French Open this year, winning against Medjedovic in the first round as we predicted and going to five sets over Holger Rune. Flavio never had any success on grass. He has only played four matches on grass and has a losing 1-3 record. The last match that he played on grass was last year at the Wimbledon qualifications, where he lost against Ficovich in straight sets.
Jan-Lennard Struff has won three of his last five matches. Last week, Struff lost in the 1/16Finals of the French Open against de Minaur in four sets. Struff loves to play short points with aggressive tennis which fits the grass court perfectly. The last match that he played on grass was last year in Halle, where he lost against Bublik in three tight sets. Before that, Struff reached the final here in Stuttgart where he lost against Tiafoe in three tight sets. En route to the final, Jan-Lennard won against some great grass court players such as Hurkacz, Gasquet and Tommy Paul.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Struff is a huge favorite in this matchup. Cobolli never had any solid results on grass. However, he has improved a lot this year, and we expect him to do better this year. With grass being so fast at the beginning of the tournament, we believe that Cobolli will hold his service games comfortably.
That being said, Cobolli covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Flavio Cobolli +4.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
