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French Open Semifinal Predictions: Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek

Coco Gauff French Open

We are all set for a blockbuster semifinal match at the French Open as World #1 Iga Swiatek takes on World #3 Coco Gauff. Can the American phenom take out the prohibitive favorite? Our writers share their thoughts on the match. Predicting this match are Manuel Traquete, Jordan Reynolds, Damian Kust, Nurein Ahmed, and Jack Edward. What do you think will happen? (Update: With the other semifinal now set between Mirra Andreeva and Jasmine Paolini, we now have an article with predictions for that match as well.)

French Open Semifinal Predictions

Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek

After a massive scare against Naomi Osaka in the second round, Iga Swiatek has been her usual dominant self, barely losing any games as she crushes every opponent who comes her way. This is a rematch of the 2022 final of this tournament and the result isn’t expected to be much different, especially since Gauff hasn’t been particularly impressive so far this tournament.
Prediction: Swiatek in 2

Swiatek has only lost one match in 11 against Gauff and that was on a hard court. Those are the tough odds Gauff must overcome. There were at least some positive signs for the American in Rome. Despite losing in straight sets, the match was very competitive and Gauff could have won both sets if her serve didn’t let her down in key moments. The American’s forehand in particular was much improved against the world No.1 in that match. I will still back Swiatek overall, but this could be closer than many expect.
Prediction: Swiatek in 3

Swiatek eliminated Gauff from the last two editions of this event and it won’t be easy for the American to avoid that fate this time as well. It’s always been a brutal matchup, especially when they’re facing each other in conditions that suit the game of the World No. 1. To Gauff’s credit it seems like she always believes she can win against Swiatek and often brings something new to the rivalry, their Rome match was so close until she gave away the 4-4 break. Beating the Pole in Paris likely way too much of an ask, maybe she can push her for a bit though.
Prediction: Swiatek in 2

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On paper, Iga Swiatek should be winning this match at a canter. In fact, that’s precisely what she’s done all tournament, bar the match against Naomi Osaka. Coco Gauff has more than steadied the ship and is in great form. Gauff is an elite athlete; let’s get that right. However, I think this match won’t come down to the level of talent. Instead, it will be Gauff fighting a mental battle as she has done in recent matches against Swiatek. Given that wretched head-to-head record, it’s slim pickings for the American in this one, and the top seed should safely qualify for the final.
Prediction: Swiatek in 2

It hasn’t been a kind match-up for Gauff. Her patient style and booming serve are both negated by the burly groundstrokes and phenomenal return abilities of the world #1. Even if the American is playing well, Swiatek’s shown she’s playing better this tournament.
Prediction: Swiatek in 2

Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports


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