ATP Rome 1/32-Finals
Tsitsipas – Struff: 11.05.2024 17:30 CEST
H2H: 4-3
Stefanos Tsitsipas lost his last two matches in straight sets. Three weeks ago, Tsitsipas had a solid run in Barcelona, where he reached the final. However, he did not have an answer to Casper Ruud, and he lost that final in straight sets. After that, Tsitsipas was upset in Madrid by Monteiro in straight sets. Before that, Tsitsipas won the title in Monte Carlo. We thought that he would be really confident and keep winning, but he is being inconsistent yet again. Worth mentioning that the media shared the news of a breakup with his now ex-girlfriend, Paul Badosa, just days before the start of the Rome Masters. This will probably impact his performance here in Rome.
Jan-Lennard Struff is playing his best tennis at the moment. He has won seven of his last eight matches. The German won his first ATP title two weeks ago in Munich. Struff said that it could not have been better than winning his maiden title in front of the home crowd. Following that success, Struff had a solid tournament in Madrid last week when he reached the 1/8-Finals and even won a set against the two-time defending champion, Carlos Alcaraz. Here in the first round, Struff had another great performance, defeating Cachin in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
Stefanos Tsitsipas is struggling with some problems outside the court, it seems. We believe that Struff has been more consistent lately, and that he should be a favorite tomorrow. According to the bookies, Struff is the underdog in this match, and we strongly disagree with that.
That being said, Struff winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jan-Lennard Struff winning @2.50 @bet365
Nardi – Rune: 11.05.2024 20:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Luca Nardi is a 20-year 20-year-old Italian prodigy. He has won three of his last five matches. Nardi spent most of his young career at the ATP challenger tour level. However, he is looking to break into the top 80 this week. He ended his three-match losing streak in the main draw of tour level tournaments by defeating Altmaier in straight sets here in Rome. Nardi stayed cool under the pressure, and, with the help of the crowd, managed to get into the second round.
Holger Rune has also won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in the 1/16-Finals in Madrid, where he lost against Griekspoor in three sets. We believe that Rune lost his confidence due to his fitness problems. Sometimes, Rune looks tired in the third set. Last year in Rome, Rune lost in the final against Medvedev. He played great tennis throughout the tournament and adapted well to the surface.
Best Bet to Make
Looking at Rune’s recent performances, he has been really inconsistent. Luca Nardi is a big underdog in this match according to the bookies. However, we believe that with the help of the crowd, Nardi will put up a big battle against Rune.
That being said, Rune covering games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Luca Nardi +3.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
