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WTA Madrid Quarterfinal Predictions Including Iga Swiatek vs Beatriz Haddad Maia

Iga Swiatek in action at the WTA Indian Wells Open.

WTA Madrid has produced some phenomenal matches over the last week. The 96-person draw has dwindled to eight as some of the best WTA players in the world duke it out for this 1000-level title. Tuesday in Madrid features two quarterfinal matches, including No. 1 seed Iga Swiatek taking on Brazilian Beatriz Haddad Maia. As always, we at LWOT have a preview and prediction for all happenings around the Mutua Madrid Open. But who will advance to the semis?

WTA Madrid Quarterfinal Predictions

Ons Jabeur vs Madison Keys

Head-to-Head: Jabeur 2-0

Ons Jabeur holds the 2-0 head-to-head advantage over Madison Keys, though this will be their first meeting on the clay. Keys has always been a solid clay-court player, showing those skills off at WTA Madrid. She knocked out two seeds this week, including compatriot Coco Gauff in the Round of 16. In that two-hour, 30-minute battle, Keys proved she has the match fitness to play deep into three-setters on the dirt.

Jabeur has always favored clay as her favorite surface. She holds a 72.3% winning percentage in clay-court WTA matches, including a 45-13 mark since 2021. Jabeur has had a much-needed bounce-back week at WTA Madrid. Coming into this event, she had won just one of her previous seven matches. Her 6-0, 6-4 Round of 16 win over Ostapenko put the tour on notice that she will be a contender in Paris.

This should be an entertaining battle between two clean ball-strikers. Jabeur’s aforementioned struggles seem to be behind her, as her play this week should give her a lot of confidence heading into this quarterfinal bout.

Prediction: Jabeur in 3

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Iga Swiatek vs Beatriz Haddad Maia

Head-to-Head: Swiatek 2-1 Haddad Maia

No. 1 seed Iga Swiatek is once again having a terrific season. The 22-year-old Pole is 29-4 this year and is the favorite to win the second slam of the season. Swiatek’s 68-10 career clay-court record is absolutely remarkable. Her balance, poise, and ball striking make it nearly impossible for her to be beaten on the dirt.

Beatriz Haddad Maia was ousted by Swiatek 6-2, 7-6 in the 2023 French Open semifinals. After that loss, the Brazilian reached a career-high ranking of World No. 10 and has been a top-15 player since. Haddad Maia has yet to drop a set in three matches at WTA Madrid and is coming off a dominant 6-4, 6-4 win over No. 5 seed Maria Sakkari.

Swiatek is 22-2 in her career against lefties and 52-5 in her last 57 clay-court matches. The odds are stacked against Haddad Maia, and I struggle to see her finding a path to victory unless the Pole gives up an unusually high number of unforced errors.

Prediction: Swiatek in 2

Main Photo Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea – USA TODAY Sports


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