ATP Miami qualification finals
Nakashima – Atmane: 19.03.2024 19:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Brandon Nakashima did not have a great match in the first qualification round in Miami. However, he won against Mmoh in three sets and that is all that is important. Even though Nakashima served almost perfectly, having 19 aces, he still lost his serve three times in this match. His opponent, Atmane, played a very good match against the veteran, Kukushkin. Atmane did not offer any break points in this match and managed to break the serve once in each set, which was enough. Considering how well both players, Nakashima and Atmane, served in their previous match, we believe that we will watch a tight match. It is hard to expect many breaks in this match. The over games line is set too low, and we strongly believe that the guys will play at least 23 games in this match.
Value bet/ the best odds: over 22.5 games @-122 @FanDuel
Rinderknech – Schwartzman: 19.03.2024 19:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Arthur Rinderknech is in great form. He won 7 out of the last 8 matches. Earlier this month, Rinderknech won the challenger title in Lille. Rinderknech played a challenger tournament in Phoenix that month, where he also played good tennis. In his first qualification round, Rinderknech got lucky with the draw and won against Bicknell in straight sets. His opponent, Schwartzman, has been really struggling lately. The Argentinian is outside the top 100 in the rankings. His ground strokes are too weak, and he is just struggling to win at the moment. He got his first win this year yesterday against Svajda. Before that match, Schwartzman was on a 7-game losing streak. These guys played against each other last year at the US Open where Rinderknech dominated throughout the whole match. The conditions were similar, like here in Miami. We expect a similar outcome tonight as well. We believe that Rinderknech is just a way better hard court player at the moment and that he will win easily against Schwartzman!
Value bet/ the best odds: Rinderknech -3.5 games handicap @-106 @FanDuel
Virtanen – Bautista Agut: 19.03.2024 19:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Otto Virtanen is just unstoppable at the moment. Virtanen has won two challenger titles on the hard court this year already. He also won 15 out of the last 17 matches he played. Here, in Miami, Virtanen won in three sets against Rodionov. Virtanen managed to save 7 match points! His opponent tonight, Bautista Agut, is on the verge of getting out of the top 100 rankings. He has played poorly this season so far. Bautista Agut had only 5 wins this season. His ground strokes are looking weaker and his footwork is not the best anymore. Considering how well Virtanen has been serving lately, we believe that Virtanen will have many free points in this match. He is in better form, and we believe that he should not be an underdog in this match as the bookies are predicting. All being said, Virtanen to win is a value bet, and you should go for it!
Value bet/ the best odds: Virtanen to win @+124 @FanDuel
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports