ATP Buenos Aires 250 1/8-Finals
Baez – Darderi: 15.02.2024 16:30 Time TBA
H2H: 1-1
Sebastian Baez had a solid run last week only where he lost against Darderi in the semifinals. He played well but Darderi was just incredible last week when he won his first ATP title! Baez is a top 30 player and a clay court specialist. It was astounding to see him lose against Darderi, but it happens to the best of us. This week he has already secured his first round win in straight sets where he was really dominant. We believe that he will go deep this week as well! His opponent, Darderi, as we already mentioned, won his first ATP title last week, and he should be tired and emotionally exhausted coming into this week. He played really well last week, but it is hard to expect him to maintain that level this week as well. Darderi was a challenge level player throughout his young career, and we believe that he still needs time to develop! All things considered, we believe that Baez will win tomorrow easily easily. He knows what his opponent’s weaknesses are and Darderi should be tired and emotionally drained because of this match.
Value bet/ the best odds: Baez to win @1.73 @bet365
Coria – Norrie: 15.02.2024 18:30 Time TBA
H2H: 0-1
After losing in the first round of the Australian Open, Federico Coria has already played 11 matches on the clay court since then. He has won 8 out of those 11 matches, and he showed how good he is on the clay. Last week he got to the semifinals, where he played well but lost in two tough sets. He is playing at home, and he is in form. We believe that he can go deep this week as well! Cameron Norrie, on the other hand, is yet to play a match since the Australian Open. His favorite surface is hard court the but he can play really solid on the clay as well. However, players usually need some time to adjust to the surface and since he did not play on the clay this year, it is going to be a really tough challenge for him. Bookies are favoring Norrie in this matchup, but all things considered, we believe that Coria has got a decent chance. Coria to win is a value bet, and you should go for it!
Value bet/ the best odds: Coria to win @2.75 @bet365
Alcaraz – Ugo Carabelli: 15.02.2024 Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
After losing to Alexander Zverev, Alcaraz is yet to play his first match. It is weird to see the number 2 in the world play 250 a tournament. We believe that he is trying to get his confidence back by winning more matches. The last match Alcaraz played on clay was last summer. As we previously already mentioned, players need more time to adjust to the surface. His opponent has been playing so much clay court tennis recently. He is on an 8 match winning streak, and he also recently won the challenger title in Brazil. Here, he had already played two qualification rounds and the first round as well. His tennis looks promising, and he probably will not win against Alcaraz, but he will give him a good fight! All things considered, we believe that the odds on Alcaraz are way too low and that Ugo Carabelli will cover the handicap line of games easily!
Value bet/ the best odds: Ugo Carabelli +5.5 handicap games @2.00 @bet365
