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February 5, 2021 By  Tennis, Tennis Predictions, WTA

WTA Gippsland Trophy Semifinal Predictions Including Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens

The final four women at the WTA Gippsland Trophy have been determined. There was a cloud of uncertainty surrounding proceedings on Thursday, causing all quarterfinal matches to be postponed. Tennis Australia, in consultation with WTA, have introduced a new scoring system in order to shorten matches and beat Sunday’s deadline of completing all warm-up events.

Who will advance into Sunday’s final?

WTA Gippsland Trophy Semifinal Predictions

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kaia Kanepi

Head-to-head: first meeting at Tour level (Alexandrova leads 1-0 at ITF)

Ekaterina Alexandrova demolished top seed Simona Halep 6-2 6-1 in exactly an hour in their quarterfinal match. The Romanian was visibly hampered by a back injury. She led 2-0 briefly, but only won one more game after that. A barrage of measured gorund strokes came off Alexandrova’s racket, as she converted five of ten break point chances. The Russian set up a meeting against World No.94 Kaia Kanepi.

The Estonian benefitted from an extra day of rest following Karolina Muchova’s withdrawal due to an abdominal injury. But that may not necessarily be a good thing especially when you consider that players jetting in to Melbourne were subjected to a mandatory two-week quarantine. The new scoring system makes this a potential lottery if it goes into a 10-point third set tiebreak. But based on Alexandrova’s excellent win on Friday, she has wind in her sails.
Prediction: Alexandrova in 3

Embed from Getty Images

Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens

Head-to-head: Osaka 2-1 Mertens

Naomi Osaka produced quite possibly her best performance of the week. She planted 22 winners to just 11 unforced errors (and won 79% of first serve points) to beat Irina-Camelia Begu 7-5 6-1. Excluding the Cincinnati Masters, Osaka hasn’t lost a completed match since a Fed Cup singles defeat to Sorribes Tormo last February. I expect her to keep up that unblemished record against Mertens. The Belgian nearly made a melee of her quarterfinal win over Svitolina, surrendering a second set in which she led 5-2. That doesn’t bode well especially against the second seed who is hitting top form at the right time.
Prediction: Osaka in 2

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Main Photo from Getty.

About Nurein Ahmed

Nurein is CPA by profession, but he is an ardent fan of tennis. When he is not crunching numbers, he loves nothing more than dissecting tennis matches. The first tennis match he watched was the Dubai final in 2006 between Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal, and he has since been hooked into the sport.

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