{"id":95554,"date":"2026-01-11T14:35:39","date_gmt":"2026-01-11T19:35:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/?p=95554"},"modified":"2026-01-11T14:35:39","modified_gmt":"2026-01-11T19:35:39","slug":"what-to-make-of-daniil-medvedevs-brisbane-trophy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2026\/01\/11\/what-to-make-of-daniil-medvedevs-brisbane-trophy\/","title":{"rendered":"What to make of Daniil Medvedev&#8217;s Brisbane trophy?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span>Daniil Medvedev spent ten months of 2025 chasing his first <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2025\/10\/20\/daniil-medvedev-revival-from-us-open-collapse-to-almaty-champion\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">ATP title.<\/a> He needed just one week in 2026 to grab one. So what does that tell us? Are we witnessing the rebirth of the Medvedev who climbed to world number one? Not quite. But it&#8217;s a start worth examining.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>The Consistency That Used to Define Daniil Medvedev<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span>For years, Daniil Medvedev was the model of reliability. Deep runs were routine. Multiple titles per season were expected. The idea of him going trophy-less would have been laughable.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The numbers tell the story. Six finals in 2021, winning four. Five finals in 2022, winning two. Five more finals in 2023, winning four. Then 2024 hit, and suddenly Medvedev went an entire year without silverware for the first time since 2018.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>He made two finals that year but lost both. In 2025, <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2025\/12\/05\/daniil-medvedev-2025-season\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">he reached just two finals again<\/a>, finally breaking through in Almaty in October to end a drought that had stretched over two years. But let&#8217;s be honest: nobody was exactly blown away. The field was weak. The run was unconvincing.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Brisbane might not have featured the strongest draw either, but winning a trophy this early in the season matters. It takes pressure off. And there was plenty of pressure building. The narrative was hardening around Medvedev: a once-elite player slowly fading from relevance. Not finished yet, but definitely declining.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>This title doesn&#8217;t prove he&#8217;s fully back. But it does prove he&#8217;s not done yet.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>What Actually Worked in Brisbane?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span>Let&#8217;s dig into the numbers because the eye test only tells part of the story. Medvedev looked solid. He looked like himself. But what actually changed? Where are the nuances?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Start with the serve. Anyone who watched Medvedev dismantle Djokovic at the 2021 US Open knows his serve can be utterly untouchable when it&#8217;s firing. In Brisbane, it was firing. Same story in Almaty, where his ace percentage regularly topped ten percent.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Daniil Medvedev vs Novak Djokovic Extended Highlights | 2021 US Open Final\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/iQcNk6lBMsE?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span>For context, Medvedev has hovered around that ten percent mark in recent years, usually dipping below rather than above. In Brisbane, he dropped below ten percent just once, in his opening match. After that? Comfortably above in every match, peaking at eighteen percent against Frances Tiafoe.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>He was also hitting his first serve better than his recent average and held serve at a higher rate than he did throughout 2025. His break percentage jumped significantly too. The data supports what we saw on court: he was playing more decisive tennis. Sharper. More aggressive. More like the Medvedev we remember.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"\" style=\"max-width: 610px\"><smartframe-embed class=\"smartframe_wp_element\" customer-id=\"b0c95bc04383cef69c6b47df872135cf\" image-id=\"WmOBDAxGEPWQ\" style=\"width: 100%; display: inline-flex; max-width: 4912px; aspect-ratio: 4912\/3930;\" ><\/smartframe-embed><\/p>\n<p><b>Can He Sustain This?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span>If Medvedev maintains this level, he&#8217;s got a genuine shot at re-establishing himself as a top ten regular. The question is whether he can actually hold it.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>We have our doubts, and here&#8217;s why: conditions matter. Brisbane is a fast court. Almaty was a fast court. Medvedev loves fast courts. He thrives when the ball skids through and his serve becomes a weapon that opponents simply can&#8217;t handle.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>But not every tournament is played on fast courts. Some regression is inevitable when he hits slower surfaces where his serve becomes more manageable and his grinding style gets exposed. The calendar won&#8217;t always favor him.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Still, this is a legitimately encouraging start. At minimum, Medvedev can extract some much-needed confidence from this title. He&#8217;s proven he can still win when the conditions suit him, that his game hasn&#8217;t completely abandoned him.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Whether that confidence carries him through the season, whether he can adapt when the courts slow down, whether he can recapture even a fraction of his former dominance? Time will tell. F<\/span><span>or now, Daniil Medvedev is a champion again. And after the last two years, that alone is worth celebrating.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Daniil Medvedev spent ten months of 2025 chasing his first ATP title. He needed just one week in 2026 to grab one. So what does that tell us? Are we witnessing the rebirth of the Medvedev who climbed to world number one? Not quite. But it&#8217;s a start worth examining. The Consistency That Used to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5393,"featured_media":74125,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,2,15913],"tags":[18,2307,259,498,1415],"class_list":["post-95554","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-atp","category-featured","category-opinion","tag-atp","tag-atp-brisbane","tag-atp-tour","tag-daniil-medvedev","tag-russian-tennis"],"modified_by":"Steen Kirby","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95554","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5393"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95554"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95554\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":95557,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95554\/revisions\/95557"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/74125"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95554"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95554"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95554"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}