{"id":90162,"date":"2025-09-04T00:37:11","date_gmt":"2025-09-04T04:37:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/?p=90162"},"modified":"2025-09-04T00:44:34","modified_gmt":"2025-09-04T04:44:34","slug":"quarterfinal-curse-andrey-rublev-and-alex-de-minaur-struggle-to-break-grand-slam-barrier","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2025\/09\/04\/quarterfinal-curse-andrey-rublev-and-alex-de-minaur-struggle-to-break-grand-slam-barrier\/","title":{"rendered":"Quarterfinal Curse: Andrey Rublev and Alex de Minaur Struggle to Break Grand Slam Barrier"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!-- Title: Rublev and de Minaur Still Searching for Grand Slam Breakthrough --><\/p>\n<p>At the 2025 <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/category\/us-open\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">US Open,<\/a> Alex de Minaur and Andrey Rublev both ran into the same roadblock \u2014 Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime. The Canadian first <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2025\/09\/03\/felix-auger-aliassime-bids-for-first-grand-slam-semifinal-since-2021\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">dispatched Rublev in straight sets<\/a> in the round of 16, then followed it up by defeating de Minaur in four sets in the quarterfinals, winning two crucial tiebreaks to reach his second career US Open semifinal. Auger-Aliassime recovered from 2-5 down in the 4th set, to prevent a 5th set being played. Among the four semifinalists, Auger-Aliassime is the only one yet to win a Grand Slam title.<\/p>\n<p>The in-form Canadian deserves full credit for his surge in New York, his best run since 2022. But for Rublev and de Minaur, their defeats add to a remarkable and troubling statistic: combined, the pair are <strong>0\u201316 in Grand Slam quarterfinals across all three surfaces<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3>Rublev and de Minaur: Consistent Winners Without the Slam Payoff<\/h3>\n<p>Rublev, a former World No. 5, has spent four years inside the top 10 and remains a fixture in the top 20 at age 27. A model of consistency, he has won 40 or more matches every year since 2020 \u2014 including a 41\u201310 record in that breakout season. He has claimed Masters 1000 titles in Monte Carlo and Madrid, reached four additional Masters finals, and won ATP titles every year since 2017 across multiple surfaces. By nearly every measure, Rublev is one of the most accomplished players of his generation. The only thing missing: a Grand Slam semifinal.<\/p>\n<p>The Russian has reached <strong>10 Slam quarterfinals<\/strong> \u2014 at least one per season from 2020 through 2024 \u2014 but has lost them all. In 2025, his Slam results slipped slightly, with three round-of-16 exits and just one quarterfinal appearance.<\/p>\n<p>De Minaur, Australia\u2019s No. 1, has been similarly reliable. Now 26, he peaked at World No. 6 last year and has spent two straight seasons in the top 10. Nicknamed the \u201cDemon\u201d for his speed and defensive brilliance, he has won 40 or more matches each year since 2022 and owns 10 career ATP titles, including this year\u2019s Washington 500 crown. He also reached the 2023 Canadian Masters final and has built an impressive 18 wins over top-10 opponents. Though his peak hasn\u2019t quite matched Rublev\u2019s (27 top-10 wins), his career trajectory is similarly steady \u2014 and similarly blocked at Slam quarterfinals.<\/p>\n<h3>Mental and Physical Limitations<\/h3>\n<p>The numbers underline the issue. Against top-10 opponents, de Minaur is just 18\u201356, while Rublev is 27\u201346. Both are capable of big wins, but their records show they struggle to sustain \u201celite\u201d level play consistently.<\/p>\n<div class=\"getty embed image\" style=\"background-color: #fff; display: inline-block; font-family: Roboto,sans-serif; color: #a7a7a7; font-size: 11px; width: 100%; max-width: 594px;\">\n<div style=\"padding: 0; margin: 0; text-align: left;\"><a style=\"color: #a7a7a7; text-decoration: none; font-weight: normal !important; border: none; display: inline-block;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/2233554101\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><\/div>\n<div style=\"overflow: hidden; position: relative; height: 0; padding: 66.66667% 0 0 0; width: 100%;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"display: inline-block; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100%; margin: 0;\" src=\"\/\/embed.gettyimages.com\/embed\/2233554101?et=kCKc45XOSUtA8Xh2d3VaOA&amp;tld=com&amp;sig=Utz6_eXKXNjA1eg_ajARbDYsIN2ftGi1G5TEuO1EdpE=&amp;caption=true&amp;ver=1\" width=\"594\" height=\"396\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>For de Minaur, the Slam quarterfinal stage has been especially harsh. His four-set loss to Auger-Aliassime at this year\u2019s US Open was the first time he even won a set in a quarterfinal. His other attempts:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>2020 US Open:<\/strong> lost in straights to Dominic Thiem<\/li>\n<li><strong>2023 US Open:<\/strong> lost in straights to Jack Draper<\/li>\n<li><strong>2024 French Open:<\/strong> lost in straights to Alexander Zverev<\/li>\n<li><strong>2024 Wimbledon:<\/strong> withdrew before facing Novak Djokovic <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usopen.org\/en_US\/news\/articles\/2025-09-02\/how_a_rare_injury_steeled_de_minaurs_resolve_for_more_us_open_success.html\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">(groin injury)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>2025 Australian Open:<\/strong> lost in straights to Jannik Sinner<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>de Minaur <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennis.com.au\/news\/2025\/09\/04\/de-minaur-i-feel-like-this-one-was-on-my-racquet\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">eluded to this situation<\/a>, facing the media after his loss to Auger-Aliassime at the US Open <em>\u201cRight now, I\u2019m looking at this like a wasted opportunity. It\u2019s tough,\u201d De Minaur admitted. \u201cThere\u2019s no other way I\u2019m probably gonna deal with this, but just seeing it straight, and that\u2019s what today was. Today was an opportunity to break new ground. I was nowhere near the level I needed to be at. That\u2019s frustrating, because you don\u2019t get these chances often.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Rublev\u2019s history is longer, but just as frustrating. He has been swept aside by Novak Djokovic twice, Daniil Medvedev three times, Rafael Nadal, and Jannik Sinner \u2014 all elite champions. But the most painful losses may have come against Marin \u010cili\u0107 in a fifth-set tiebreak at Roland Garros 2022, and Frances Tiafoe later that year at the US Open. Each was a golden chance, and each slipped away.<\/p>\n<p>The pattern is clear: Rublev\u2019s power game is lethal against most players, but in best-of-five matches against elite opponents, he can be erratic, tire physically, and crumble mentally. De Minaur, on the other hand, lacks the firepower to hit through top opponents at this stage, relying instead on speed and counterpunching that often aren\u2019t enough when the level rises deep into a Slam. He has also shown nerves in these big matches.<\/p>\n<div class=\"getty embed image\" style=\"background-color: #fff; display: inline-block; font-family: Roboto,sans-serif; color: #a7a7a7; font-size: 11px; width: 100%; max-width: 594px;\">\n<div style=\"padding: 0; margin: 0; text-align: left;\"><a style=\"color: #a7a7a7; text-decoration: none; font-weight: normal !important; border: none; display: inline-block;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/2232556862\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><\/div>\n<div style=\"overflow: hidden; position: relative; height: 0; padding: 66.66667% 0 0 0; width: 100%;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"display: inline-block; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100%; margin: 0;\" src=\"\/\/embed.gettyimages.com\/embed\/2232556862?et=eSDHOv9nSvptr9K-MQA3BQ&amp;tld=com&amp;sig=sfShdZZ4tbYmyXymJMXEcfUXnnVazOHPVrwTsVpfFTY=&amp;caption=true&amp;ver=1\" width=\"594\" height=\"396\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h3>What\u2019s Next?<\/h3>\n<p>Both men have achieved enough to suggest a Slam breakthrough isn\u2019t impossible. Reaching quarterfinals year after year shows consistency, and eventually a favorable draw or an off-day from an opponent could open the door. Players such as Marin \u010cili\u0107 and Stan Wawrinka hit similar walls before eventually breaking through to win majors.<\/p>\n<p>History offers perspective:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>David Ferrer<\/strong> reached 17 Slam quarterfinals, but also six semifinals and the 2013 Roland Garros final.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tommy Robredo<\/strong> never broke through, finishing 0\u20137 in Slam quarterfinals.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Jo-Wilfried Tsonga<\/strong> (18 quarterfinals, 1 final), <strong>Kevin Anderson<\/strong> (6 QFs, 2 finals), and <strong>Ga\u00ebl Monfils<\/strong> (10 QFs, 2 semis) all lived in the \u201calmost\u201d category.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tomas Berdych<\/strong> made a Slam final and multiple semis but was dubbed a \u201cnearly man.\u201d<\/li>\n<li><strong>Marin \u010cili\u0107<\/strong> and Stan <strong>Wawrinka<\/strong>, after years of frustration, became Grand Slam champions.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>For Rublev and de Minaur, the question is whether they follow the path of \u010cili\u0107 and Wawrinka, or remain stuck like Robredo and Monfils.<\/p>\n<div class=\"getty embed image\" style=\"background-color: #fff; display: inline-block; font-family: Roboto,sans-serif; color: #a7a7a7; font-size: 11px; width: 100%; max-width: 594px;\">\n<div style=\"padding: 0; margin: 0; text-align: left;\"><a style=\"color: #a7a7a7; text-decoration: none; font-weight: normal !important; border: none; display: inline-block;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/464594603\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><\/div>\n<div style=\"overflow: hidden; position: relative; height: 0; padding: 87.71044% 0 0 0; width: 100%;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"display: inline-block; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100%; margin: 0;\" src=\"\/\/embed.gettyimages.com\/embed\/464594603?et=_UYYZxoXSbdu1XJodzJLAQ&amp;tld=com&amp;sig=PUEOn7fVMdVB95lPykbBMdyC6cOhyNQtjLQRArBWDzs=&amp;caption=true&amp;ver=1\" width=\"594\" height=\"521\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>They are unlikely to rise to the level of Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, or Novak Djokovic, three of this year\u2019s four US Open semifinalists. But tennis isn\u2019t only about champions; it\u2019s about endurance, heartbreak, and the pursuit of excellence. For Rublev and de Minaur, the pain is obvious, but so too is the possibility of triumph still to come.<\/p>\n<p>Rublev&#8217;s coach, Fernando Vicente offered a similar perspective, in <a href=\"https:\/\/en.tennistemple.com\/actu\/rublevs-coach-explains-why-he-has-yet-to\/ynoL\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tennis Temple<\/a> he offered advice for both tennis, and life <em>&#8220;An<\/em><em>drey must always remember to enjoy life, not to suffer at every tournament, and not to worry as much as if it were a matter of life and death.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Of course, we do all this work to win, but the mental strength is to accept defeat, not to put unnecessary pressure on ourselves, and to try to fight with good humor, and not to suffer mentally.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>At the 2025 US Open, Alex de Minaur and Andrey Rublev both ran into the same roadblock \u2014 Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime. The Canadian first dispatched Rublev in straight sets in the round of 16, then followed it up by defeating de Minaur in four sets in the quarterfinals, winning two crucial tiebreaks to reach his [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1442,"featured_media":74711,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[8,3,7,2,5,6],"tags":[42770,564,511,259,205,1219,204,144,50,115,51,3641,43,21],"class_list":["post-90162","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-us-open","category-atp","category-australian-open","category-featured","category-french-open","category-wimbledon","tag-2025-us-open","tag-alex-de-minaur","tag-andrey-rublev","tag-atp-tour","tag-australian-open","tag-felix-auger-aliassime","tag-french-open","tag-gael-monfils","tag-marin-cilic","tag-stan-wawrinka","tag-tomas-berdych","tag-tommy-robredo","tag-us-open","tag-wimbledon"],"modified_by":"Steen Kirby","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90162","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1442"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90162"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90162\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":90172,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90162\/revisions\/90172"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/74711"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90162"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90162"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90162"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}