Draper – Alcaraz: 15.03.2025 Time TBA<\/strong> Jack Draper has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Draper has not lost a single set. En route to the semifinals, he defeated Fonseca, Brooksby, Fritz, and eventually Shelton in the quarterfinals. Last season, the Brit lost against O\u2019Connell in the opening round.<\/p>\n Carlos Alcaraz has won four of his last five matches. The Spaniard has dominated this week in Indian Wells, winning all matches in straight sets. Cerundolo put up a big fight in the quarterfinals, but Alcaraz won in straight sets. Alcaraz is a back-to-back champion in Indian Wells. He won two consecutive titles in 2023 and 2024.<\/p>\n According to the bookies, Draper is the big underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He was dominant this week in Indian Wells, not dropping a set. Alcaraz was also dominant, but he had an easier draw than Draper. The Spaniard struggled against Cerundolo in the quarterfinals. We expect a tight match that could go either way.<\/p>\n That being said, Draper covering the games handicap is a value bet.<\/strong><\/p>\n Value bet\/ the best odds: Jack Draper +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365<\/strong><\/p>\n Alcaraz averaged almost four double faults this week in Indian Wells. In his last match against Cerundolo, the Spaniard made five double faults. We expect a tight and long match, which means Alcaraz will be under pressure on many points.<\/p>\n That being said, Alcaraz making at least three double faults is a value bet.<\/strong><\/p>\n Value bet\/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz over 2.5 double faults @+120 @FanDuel<\/strong><\/p>\n Rune – Medvedev: 15.03.2025 Time TBA<\/strong> Holger Rune has won four of his last five matches. En route to the quarterfinals, Rune won against Moutet, Humbert, and Tsitsipas. He defeated Griekspoor in the quarterfinals in three sets after losing the opening set 5-7.<\/p>\n Daniil Medvedev has won four of his last five matches. In the quarterfinals, he beat Fils in three tight sets after spending over two hours on the court. Medvedev has played back-to-back finals in Indian Wells in 2023 and 2024.<\/p>\n According to the bookies, Medvedev is the slight favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. Rune had a tough draw this week. He was great under pressure and came back two times this week after losing the opening set. On the other hand, Medvedev struggled against Fils in the quarterfinals and was even on the verge of losing the match in the deciding set. We expect Rune to keep this match tight.<\/p>\n That being said, Rune covering the games handicap is a value bet.<\/strong><\/p>\n Second Bet<\/h3>\n Rune was excellent under pressure this week. Besides making nine double faults in the third round against Humbert, Rune was brilliant on serve. He made no double faults in the 1\/8-Finals and quarterfinals. We expect this trend to continue in the semifinals as well.<\/p>\n That being said, Rune making less than 1.5 double faults is a value bet.<\/strong><\/p>\n Value bet\/ the best odds: Holger Rune under 1.5 double faults @+120 @FanDuel<\/p>\n <\/strong>Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells semifinals Draper – Alcaraz: 15.03.2025 Time TBA H2H: 1-3 Jack Draper has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Draper has not lost a single set. En route to the semifinals, he defeated Fonseca, Brooksby, Fritz, and eventually Shelton in the quarterfinals. Last season, the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5045,"featured_media":80059,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[17400],"tags":[18371,2749,16662,5729,498,10623,7605,11131,8212,18636,304,347],"class_list":["post-81099","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-best-bets","tag-arthur-fils","tag-atp-indian-wells","tag-ben-shelton","tag-carlos-alcaraz","tag-daniil-medvedev","tag-francisco-cerundolo","tag-holger-rune","tag-jack-draper","tag-jenson-brooksby","tag-joao-fonseca","tag-stefanos-tsitsipas","tag-taylor-fritz"],"modified_by":"David Barisic","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81099","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5045"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81099"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81099\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":81100,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81099\/revisions\/81100"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/80059"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81099"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81099"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81099"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nH2H: 1-3<\/strong><\/p>\nBest Bets to Make<\/h2>\n
Main Bet<\/h3>\n
Second Bet<\/h3>\n
\nH2H: 1-2<\/strong><\/p>\nBest Bets to Make<\/h2>\n
Main Bet<\/h3>\n
Value bet\/ the best odds: Holger Rune +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365<\/strong><\/p>\n