{"id":51736,"date":"2022-08-27T12:00:07","date_gmt":"2022-08-27T16:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/?p=51736"},"modified":"2022-08-26T09:37:19","modified_gmt":"2022-08-26T13:37:19","slug":"us-open-champion-daniil-medvedev","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2022\/08\/27\/us-open-champion-daniil-medvedev\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Daniil Medvedev Can Win the US Open&#8230; but Probably Won&#8217;t"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>When you hear about a World #1 returning to defend a Grand Slam trophy in men\u2019s tennis, thoughts immediately flash towards Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, and Roger Federer.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s been eons since anyone else was in that position. But in 2022, that all changes as Daniil Medvedev arrives in Flushing Meadows atop the men\u2019s rankings and with a trophy to defend.<\/p>\n<p>Can the enigmatic Medvedev <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2021\/09\/12\/daniil-medvedev-upsets-novak-djokovic-us-open-first-major-title-djokovic-grand-slam\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">go back-to-back<\/a> at the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/us-open\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">US Open<\/a>? His stunning straight-sets win over Djokovic in last year\u2019s final helped propel him to the summit of men\u2019s tennis. That said, as the old adage tells us: it\u2019s harder to stay at the top than it is to get there.<\/p>\n<p>With that in mind, here are three reasons why Medvedev will win again \u2013 and three why he will fall short.<\/p>\n<h2>Daniil Medvedev at the 2022 US Open<\/h2>\n<h3>Why He&#8217;ll Win<\/h3>\n<h4><strong>The competition\u00a0<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Medvedev has won enough titles to prove he is the elite player his ranking suggests. Even so, there\u2019s no doubt that this year\u2019s field works in his favor. We now know there will be no Djokovic. There will be no Zverev, out due to his ankle injury. Rafael Nadal\u2019s preparation has been less than ideal. Dominic Thiem <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2022\/05\/22\/dominic-thiem-winless\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">is still far short<\/a> of his 2020 US Open-winning level. <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2022\/08\/12\/nick-kyrgios\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">Nick Kyrgios will be a dangerous threat<\/a> in Medvedev\u2019s quarter, but injury murmurs mean the Australian may not be at full power. This is a very manageable draw for Medvedev&#8211;now he needs to navigate it.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>He loves (and hates) New York<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>This is unquestionably the Russian&#8217;s favorite Grand Slam, at least judging by on-court results. Aside from being current US Open champion, Daniil Medvedev has had plenty of success. His last three trips here have ended in the final, the semifinal and then with the trophy in his hands. His overall win\/loss ratio is here is 20-4&#8211;certainly nothing to sniff at. During the 2019 tournament, the sometimes-abrasive Medvedev started to develop a strange love and hate rapport with the New York crowd. So far, that seems to help his performance rather than hinder it. By last year\u2019s final, Flushing Meadows\u2019 attitude towards Medvedev seemed to have softened.\u00a0Expect that relationship to be a big story again this year.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Post-Wimbledon motivation<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>A motivated Medvedev is a dangerous Medvedev. As mentioned above, he seems to thrive on the energy of the crowd&#8211;especially if it\u2019s hostile and directed at him. <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2022\/04\/21\/wimbledon-russian-ban-embarrassing-disgrace\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">Banned from Wimbledon<\/a> this year, the Russian missed the chance to compete on a grass surface on which he is quickly improving. Is it only six years since he lost to Marcus Willis in qualifying there? He would have had lofty aspirations for SW19 after a fourth-round appearance in 2021. He will surely use that to fire himself up here.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"oY0Z1LPSQUZRsOIYhrXQGQ\" class=\"gie-single\" href=\"http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1339932054\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"color:#a7a7a7;text-decoration:none;font-weight:normal !important;border:none;display:inline-block;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Embed from Getty Images<\/a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'oY0Z1LPSQUZRsOIYhrXQGQ',sig:'Y4QZfRkUfGdd1m39rTEmM7Se9rIpp3bnUv92JX_lpm0=',w:'594px',h:'396px',items:'1339932054',caption: true ,tld:'com',is360: false })});<\/script><script src='\/\/embed-cdn.gettyimages.com\/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async><\/script><\/p>\n<h3>Why he Won&#8217;t Win<\/h3>\n<h4><strong>World #1 pressure<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>After first winning the world #1 spot in February, the topsy-turvy and frankly baffling ranking situation this year has seen Medvedev lose, regain and fortify the top spot, often without doing anything. His results while he has been #1 have been underwhelming though. His recent title win at Los Cabos was his first title this year. Troublingly, he has made a bad habit of losing in finals and semi-finals. While he has not played badly, he has lacked the clinical touch which saw him hoover up trophies as he lurked inside the world\u2019s top five. There is a target on his back now \u2013 can he shake it off?<\/p>\n<h4><strong>Australian Open hangover<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>It\u2019s hard to say how much of Medvedev\u2019s inconsistent form is due to that Australian Open final. There, Medvedev lost a two-set and a break lead to Rafael Nadal. John McEnroe said that Medvedev &#8220;choked&#8221; in that third set, and it\u2019s hard to disagree. The shot selection was strange, and his interactions with the crowd were scratchy. Overall, everything suggested a lack of focus. After losing in the fourth round of the <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/french-open\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">French Open<\/a> and missing <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wimbledon\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">Wimbledon<\/a> altogether, Medvedev has not faced a tough, backs-to-the-wall Grand Slam match since Australia. Indeed, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxsports.com.au\/tennis\/australian-open-2022-daniil-medvedev-press-conference-loss-to-rafael-nadal-full-transcript-angry-at-crowd-rod-laver-arena\/news-story\/da08b88411473616f6f118b0258742d4\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">his comments after that match<\/a> in Melbourne indicate a strong change in attitude. If he is thrown into the fire, he will need to be ready.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>No one defends in New York<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>For one reason or another, the US Open has been easily the least-predictable Grand Slam in men\u2019s tennis over the past two decades. We know Nadal dominates the French and Djokovic dominates Australia. Wimbledon is a little more open, but Federer and Djokovic do have 15 titles between them. But no one has defended a men\u2019s singles trophy in New York since 2008, when <a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2019\/08\/26\/roger-federer-10-years-frustration-us-open-part-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_self\">Roger Federer claimed his fifth in a row<\/a>. Since then, the parade of winners has included the usual suspects, alongside the likes of Thiem, Stan Wawrinka, Juan Martin del Potro, and Marin Cilic. To be the US Open champion, Daniil Medvedev will need to snap a long streak.<\/p>\n<p><em>Main Photo from Getty.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When you hear about a World #1 returning to defend a Grand Slam trophy in men\u2019s tennis, thoughts immediately flash towards Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, and Roger Federer. It\u2019s been eons since anyone else was in that position. But in 2022, that all changes as Daniil Medvedev arrives in Flushing Meadows atop the men\u2019s rankings [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4088,"featured_media":41823,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,2,8],"tags":[18003,498,208,84,50,22,135,114,115],"class_list":["post-51736","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-atp","category-featured","category-us-open","tag-2022-us-open","tag-daniil-medvedev","tag-dominic-thiem","tag-juan-martin-del-potro","tag-marin-cilic","tag-novak-djokovic","tag-rafael-nadal","tag-roger-federer","tag-stan-wawrinka"],"modified_by":"Yesh Ginsburg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51736","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4088"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51736"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51736\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41823"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51736"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51736"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51736"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}