{"id":108909,"date":"2026-07-22T00:27:16","date_gmt":"2026-07-22T04:27:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/?p=108909"},"modified":"2026-07-22T00:27:16","modified_gmt":"2026-07-22T04:27:16","slug":"wta-hamburg-kawa-badosa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2026\/07\/22\/wta-hamburg-kawa-badosa\/","title":{"rendered":"WTA Hamburg Round of 16 Best Bets Including Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The<\/span><a  href=\"https:\/\/www.wtatennis.com\/tournaments\/2042\/hamburg\/2026\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">WTA Hamburg tournament<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> continues with the Round of 16 on Wednesday. This is part of the late July clay schedule after Wimbledon. WTA pros who want to get some matches before the summer hardcourt season will try to make this trip to Germany worth their while. Bigger-name players will stay home, giving dozens of lower-ranked players a chance to do something special on a surface where they enjoy playing. For this reason,<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/tag\/wta-hamburg\/\" target=\"_self\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">WTA Hamburg<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> could become unexpectedly interesting, revealing stories many tennis fans didn\u2019t anticipate.\u00a0 LWOS has our best bets for three matches. Post your best bets and thoughts in the comments.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>WTA Hamburg\u00a0<\/b><\/h2>\n<h4><b>Charaeva \u2013 Kraus: 7:00 EST<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><b>H2H: 0-0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This WTA Hamburg match involves two players who have played a lot of clay tennis in 2026. Alina Charaeva is 16-10, while Sinja Kraus is 25-7. They obviously enjoy playing on clay and want to be able to play on the surface as much as possible to boost their ranking. Kraus just won the Kitzbuhel WTA title in her home nation of Austria. Maybe she had an advantage playing in her home country, but she still did play good tennis and is obviously riding high. Charaeva is 1-2 in three matches played since Wimbledon. The betting markets have looked at this information and have installed Kraus as a clear but not massive favorite.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Best Bet to Make<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Charaeva\u2019s clay record is decent, but Kraus\u2019 clay record is clearly better. Kraus is the more in-form player, having won a tournament last week. The moneyline price on Kraus seems really generous. Shouldn\u2019t she be a bigger favorite given that 25-7 clay record this year? Kraus could be a 1.45 favorite or something like that, but you can get her for 1.60. That\u2019s hard to pass up, and while it\u2019s not a huge price, it\u2019s a lot better than many bettors have a right to expect.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That being said, <\/span><b>betting on Kraus winning is a value bet for sure.<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Value bet\/ the best odds: Kraus winning at 1.60 @betway\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<h4><b>Korpatsch \u2013 Stusek: 8:00 EST<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><b>H2H: 0-0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This WTA Hamburg match has a top-85 player, Tamara Korpatsch, against an underdog, Julia Stusek, who is ranked outside the top 400. Korpatsch has a solid 18-9 clay record this year, while Stusek is only 10-12. Korpatsch is 2-2 in her last four matches, while Stusek is 1-3. A lot of bettors will probably want to fade Stusek rather than trusting Korpatsch, because Korpatsch is not an elite player. That\u2019s the delicate balance bettors have to consider here. We all know who the underdog is, but can the favorite show dominance?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/02\/USATSI_25248194_168400550_lowres.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p><b>Best Bet to Make<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Because Korpatsch is such a huge favorite in the betting markets, you\u2019re not going to get top value for Korpatsch winning in straight sets. You could fold that into a parlay, but it\u2019s not worth much as a standalone bet. For your big main wager, you should go to the game spread. Stusek plus 6.5 games is available as a parlay piece at 1.59, but the greater value is Korpatsch minus 5.5 games. You could put those two game spreads against each other, but our main wager is Korpatsch because of the disparity between her and Stusek.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That being said, <\/span><b>betting on Korpatsch -5.5 games is a value bet for sure.<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Value bet\/ the best odds: Korpatsch -5.5 games @1.80 @bet365<\/b><\/p>\n<h4><b>Kawa \u2013 Badosa: 6:30 EST<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><b>H2H: 0-1<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The WTA Hamburg Wednesday schedule includes this match, in which Paula Badosa is a clear but not enormous betting-market favorite over Katarzyna Kawa. Paula Badosa continues to be dogged by injuries. She had to retire from the Iasi Open final in Romania this past weekend. She was on a nine-match winning streak going into the match, but her body once again failed her. She just can\u2019t seem to be match-fit for an extended period of time. She used to be a WTA top-five player, so she is really good when healthy, but she isn\u2019t healthy all that much. Bettors will certainly want to get a sense of how fit she is for this match.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Best Bet to Make<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Because you are dealing with a player (Badosa) who is very injury-prone, you probably shouldn\u2019t bet a lot on this WTA Hamburg match. It\u2019s just so risky to put a lot of faith in a player who just experienced an injury issue and is now trying to come back to the court in a different tournament. If you have to bet on this match, go with Kawa, but really, you shouldn\u2019t be risking money on players (good or bad) who are constantly fighting injuries.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That being said, <\/span><b>betting on Kawa +1.5 sets is a value bet for sure.<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Value bet\/ the best odds: Kawa +1.5 sets @1.67 @betway<\/b><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports \u00a0 <\/span><\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The WTA Hamburg tournament continues with the Round of 16 on Wednesday. This is part of the late July clay schedule after Wimbledon. WTA pros who want to get some matches before the summer hardcourt season will try to make this trip to Germany worth their while. Bigger-name players will stay home, giving dozens of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5481,"featured_media":62610,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[17400,4],"tags":[43964,43380,43939,7489,12171,17010,5296,17923],"class_list":["post-108909","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-best-bets","category-wta","tag-2026-wta-hamburg","tag-alina-charaeva","tag-julia-stusek","tag-katarzyna-kawa","tag-paula-badosa","tag-sinja-kraus","tag-tamara-korpatsch","tag-wta-hamburg"],"modified_by":"Kane Webb","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108909","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5481"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108909"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108909\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":108910,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108909\/revisions\/108910"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/62610"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108909"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108909"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108909"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}