{"id":107994,"date":"2026-07-05T00:11:50","date_gmt":"2026-07-05T04:11:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/?p=107994"},"modified":"2026-07-05T00:11:50","modified_gmt":"2026-07-05T04:11:50","slug":"wta-wimbledon-sabalenka-osaka","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/2026\/07\/05\/wta-wimbledon-sabalenka-osaka\/","title":{"rendered":"WTA Wimbledon Round of 16 Best Bets Including Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">WTA <\/span><a  href=\"https:\/\/www.wtatennis.com\/tournaments\/wimbledon\" target=\"_blank\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Wimbledon Round of 16<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> play begins on Sunday. The tournament moves into the second week, and on Sunday, it\u2019s the top half of the draw with some very interesting matches. Karolina Muchova and Jessica Pegula were viewed as contenders for the championship before the tournament began. Now they play in separate matches, both trying to get to the quarterfinals. This is one of the biggest weeks of the year, the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/category\/wimbledon\/\" target=\"_self\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">road to the Wimbledon<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> final next Saturday. Let\u2019s see if Muchova and Pegula can take the next step and create bigger opportunities later in the week. LWOS has our best bet for two matches. Post your best bets and thoughts in the comments.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>WTA Wimbledon<\/b><\/h2>\n<h4><b>Sabalenka \u2013 Osaka: 10:30 EST<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><b>H2H: 6-1<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It has been six years since Naomi Osaka last beat Aryna Sabalenka, but that loss did occur at a Major. Wimbledon is the second major, as Osaka last faced Sabalenka at this year\u2019s French Open, losing in straight sets during the round of 16. Only three of her total matches against Sabalenka have gone to a third set, and one of them was this year. This is Osaka\u2019s fourth match against Sabalenka this year alone, and only one has gone to a third set. I won\u2019t say that Sabalenka has had an easy time against Osaka, anything but; it\u2019s just that she can\u2019t quite manage to swing sets in her favor. Would we expect her to start doing that at Wimbledon?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Best Bet to Make<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are a couple ways to approach this match, and it really comes down to preference. If you think it&#8217;s likely that Sabalenka holds Osaka to a two-set win, as she has historically been able to do, then grab her winning 2:0 at 2.2 on three different sites. If you think this is a 6-3,6-4 match, then you want to take the under on 20.5 games at 2.3 on bet-at-home. Either way, you\u2019re going to be coming home with at least double your cash on a tough Wimbledon match.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That being said, <\/span><b>betting on under 20.5 games is a value bet for sure.<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Value bet\/ the best odds: Under 20.5 games @2.3 @bet-at-home<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/07\/USATSI_26598562_168400550_lowres-scaled.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<h4><b>Bencic \u2013 Gauff: Time 11:30 EST<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><b>H2H: 2-5<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Belinda Bencic against Coco Gauff is one of Wimbledon\u2019s best matches in any round. Both women are among the best in the sport, and this will be their second match this year. They recently met in the WTA Miami quarterfinals, which Gauff won in three sets. In fact, only two of their seven total matches haven\u2019t gone to a third set. Will Wimbledon be another classic between these two? They have never met in anything less than a round of 16 match, and this match will be no different.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Best Bet to Make<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This match is capable of going either way, especially with the way Gauff has been up and down this year. Are we going to get the Gauff who played in WTA Miami and WTA Rome, or the Gauff that played Indian Wells, Doha, or Berlin? Even though Bencic performs well against Gauff, she does not often win. That\u2019s what I\u2019m betting on, literally. Maybe you should too?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That being said, <\/span><b>betting on Gauff winning is a value bet for sure.<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Value bet\/ the best odds: Gauff winning @1.93 @Pinnacle<\/b><\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports \u00a0 <\/span><\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>WTA Wimbledon Round of 16 play begins on Sunday. The tournament moves into the second week, and on Sunday, it\u2019s the top half of the draw with some very interesting matches. Karolina Muchova and Jessica Pegula were viewed as contenders for the championship before the tournament began. Now they play in separate matches, both trying [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5481,"featured_media":107891,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","sfio_featured_image":false,"sfio_embed_code":"","_ef_editorial_meta_date_first-draft-date":"","_ef_editorial_meta_paragraph_assignment":"","_ef_editorial_meta_checkbox_needs-photo":"","_ef_editorial_meta_number_word-count":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[17400,6,4],"tags":[43866,1766,266,17399,2747,476,43084],"class_list":["post-107994","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-best-bets","category-wimbledon","category-wta","tag-2026-wta-wimbledon","tag-aryna-sabalenka","tag-belinda-bencic","tag-best-bets","tag-coco-gauff","tag-naomi-osaka","tag-wta-wimbledon"],"modified_by":"Kane Webb","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107994","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5481"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107994"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107994\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":107997,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107994\/revisions\/107997"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/107891"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107994"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107994"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/tennis\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107994"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}